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Raleigh News and Observer

Vance visit, millions bet on races: What to know a week out from Election Day

Edited by Jordan Schrader. Recap produced with AI assistance.
2 min read
Vance visit, millions bet on races: What to know a week out from Election Day
Millions of dollars are being bet on North Carolina elections on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

With Election Day set for Nov. 3, 2026, the final stretch of North Carolina's midterm campaign is bringing high-profile visits, sharp policy contrasts and a local funding fight. Here is the latest in The News & Observer's daily countdown to the vote.

Here are key takeaways:

  • Vance to rally in Kinston.Vice President JD Vance will make another North Carolina campaign stop in Kinston on Wednesday , his third in two months after Hendersonville and Greensboro. The event, set for 2 p.m., comes as Rep. Greg Murphy and Rep. Don Davis defend neighboring Eastern North Carolina districts that were redrawn as Republican-leaning but now viewed as competitive.

  • Senate candidates split on Iran war and gas prices.North Carolina's U.S. Senate contenders staked out starkly different positions on the Iran war and rising fuel costs . Democrat Roy Cooper and Green Party candidate Michael Dublin want the war to end, with Cooper citing 50,000 troops in the Middle East and higher pump prices. Republican Michael Whatley says the war should continue until Iran commits to abandoning nuclear weapons. Libertarian Shannon Bray, a Navy veteran, says Congress must publicly debate and vote on continued involvement.

  • Libertarian NC Senate candidate detained after Cary standoff.Cary police took Jonathan D. Miller, 46, into custody Monday after an hours-long armed standoff prompted by online posts threatening self-harm. Miller, the Libertarian nominee in North Carolina's 16th Senate district, was charged with communicating threats, resisting officers, going armed to the terror of the people and possession of a firearm by a felon. More than 40 units responded, and two nearby schools were briefly locked down.

  • Wake County weighs $680 million school bond.Voters will decide a $680 million school construction bond that would help fund three new schools and major renovations at nine others as part of an $832 million building program. Approval would cost the average homeowner about $21 more per year. Wake voters have not rejected a school bond since 1999, when the defeat of a $650 million measure led commissioners to raise taxes anyway. The Wake County Democratic Party backs the bond; the Wake GOP opposes it, saying classroom maintenance is shortchanged.

  • Millions wagered on NC races.Bettors have placed nearly $7 million on North Carolina's federal contests through Kalshi and Polymarket , with more than $4.4 million on the Senate race alone. The platforms' average odds give Cooper a 96.5% chance of winning, while a recent Elon University poll put him ahead 53% to 39%. Democrats are favored to flip the 11th District, where Jamie Ager leads Republican Jennifer Balkcom in the race to replace the censured Chuck Edwards.

The summary points above were compiled with the help of AI tools and edited by journalists. The source reporting referenced above was written and edited entirely by journalists.

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