Did the midterms tank Vance's 2028 chances? | The Debrief with Clayton Allen

JD Vance wasn't on the ballot, but the midterms may have dashed his presidential ambitions, or at least pushed them back back four years. On The Debrief, Clayton Allen explains why the vice president's ties to Trump—and dependence on a fractured MAGA coalition—could make 2028 a race he chooses to skip. Marco Rubio has more room to distance himself from the administration, but neither is guaranteed to run. And that begs the biggest question of all: who might seize the opening if Trump's presumed heirs sit this 2028 out? Subscribe to Ian Bremmer's YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/@IanBremmer w.youtube.com/@IanBremmer Clayton Allen: The biggest loser in the midterm elections wasn't even on the ballot. And no, I don't mean President Trump. I mean JD Vance. As vice president, JD Vance is inexorably linked to the administration. He's in front of all of Trump's policies. He's linked to everything Trump's done, and his only path to winning the Oval Office runs through rebuilding Trump's MAGA base—a base that fractured pretty severely in Tuesday's midterms. There's another guy in the administration who probably wants to run, though: Marco Rubio, the secretary of state. He has an advantage over Vance. He can distance himself from a lot of their domestic policies. He's been linked to their successes in Latin America, and he's been able to distance himself from the unpopular war in Iran. In addition, Rubio's a little bit older and may see 2028 as his last best opportunity to run for the White House. Rubio and Vance are the two strongest potential candidates, but neither is guaranteed to run. Rubio might understand that this is his last, maybe best, shot, but that doesn't make it a good shot, given how unpopular the administration is right now. For Vance, who's a young politician and a young father on top of that, it might make more sense to wait for 2032. If either or both stay out of the race, it creates a wide-open field, benefiting people like Ted Cruz or Ron DeSantis who might choose to jump in. The Republican Party might also be at a moment of reinvention. From George HW Bush through to Mitt Romney, Republican candidates followed pretty much the same playbook. Donald Trump upended it. And this year, facing a potentially open primary, we have to ask: Can somebody do it again? GZERO Media, a Eurasia Group company, is a multimedia publisher providing news, insights, and commentary on the events shaping our world. Our properties include GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, our weekly show on US public television; our newsletters GZERO Daily, GZERO AI, GZERO North, and GZERO Daily with Ian Bremmer; our parody series Puppet Regime; our digital video series including Ian Bremmer's Quick Take every week; and the GZERO World Podcast. Our content is free and available at https://www.gzeromedia.com/. #midterms #vance #2028