The land use-climate change-biodiversity nexus in the perceptions of European islands stakeholders

  1. Moustakas, Aristides
  2. Christoforidi, Irene
  3. Zittis, George
  4. Demirel, Nazli
  5. Fois, Mauro
  6. Zotos, Savvas
  7. Gallou, Eirini
  8. Stamatiadou, Valentini
  9. Tzirkalli, Elli
  10. Zoumides, Christos
  11. Koši?, Kristina
  12. Christopoulou, Aikaterini
  13. Dragin, Aleksandra
  14. ?owicki, Damian
  15. Gil, Artur
  16. Almeida, Bruna
  17. Chrysos, Panos
  18. Balzan, Mario V.
  19. Mansoldo, Mark D.C.
  20. Ólafsdóttir, Rannveig
  21. Ayhan, Cigdem Kaptan
  22. Atay, Lutfi
  23. Tase, Mirela
  24. Stojanovi?, Vladimir
  25. Ladi?orbi?, Maja Mijatov
  26. Díaz, Juan Pedro
  27. Expósito, Francisco Javier
  28. Quiroga, Sonia 1
  29. Cano, Miguel Ángel Casquet 1
  30. Wang, Haoran
  31. Suárez, Cristina
  32. Manolaki, Paraskevi
  33. Vogiatzakis, Ioannis N.
  34. Mostrar todos los/as autores/as +
  1. 1 Universidad Complutense de Madrid
    info
    Universidad Complutense de Madrid

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02p0gd045

    Localización geográfica de la organización Universidad Complutense de Madrid
Revista :
Environmental Impact Assessment Review

ISSN : 0195-9255

Año de publicación : 2026

Volumen : 117

Páginas : 108199

Tipo : Artículo

DOI: 10.1016/J.EIAR.2025.108199 GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_open Acceso abierto editor

Otras publicaciones en : Environmental Impact Assessment Review

Resumen

To promote climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, it is crucial to understand the perspectives and knowledge gaps of stakeholders involved in functions affected by or addressing land use and climate changes. A large number of stakeholders across 21 European islands were consulted regarding their views on climate change and land use change issues affecting ecosystem services on their island. Climate change characteristics perceptions included variables such as temperature, precipitation, humidity, extremes, and wind. Land use change characteristics perceptions included deforestation, coastal degradation, habitat protection, renewable energy facilities, wetlands and other variables. Other environmental and societal problem perceptions such as invasive species, water or energy scarcity, problems in infrastructures or austerity were also included. Climate and land use change impact perceptions were analysed with machine learning to quantify their importance on the perception outcome. For example if a stakeholder perceives that pollution, coastal degradation, deforestation, precipitation decrease, and increase of humidity are occurring on the island, and austerity is the biggest problem how likely is that the impact of climate change or land use change will be quantified by the stakeholder as negative, unclear, neutral, or positive? The predominant climatic change characteristic is related with temperature, and the predominant land use change characteristic with deforestation. Water-related problems are top priorities for stakeholders. Energy-related problems, such as energy deficiency but also wind and solar energy facilities problems, rank high as combined climate change and land use change risks. Stakeholders generally perceive climate change impacts on ecosystem services as negative, with natural habitat destruction and biodiversity loss identified as the top variables. Land use change impacts are also negative but also more complex to explain, with a higher number of explanatory variables associated with the impact outcome. Stakeholders have common perceptions regarding climate change and land use change impacts on the benefits of biodiversity despite the geographic disparity. Stakeholders differentiate between factors related to climate change impacts and land use change impacts. Water, energy, and renewable energy related issues pose serious concerns to island stakeholders and management measures are needed to address them.

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