Predicting Orioles’ next big trade before deadline

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Predicting Orioles’ next big trade before deadline

Garrett Kerman · ClutchPoints

Mon, Jul 7, 2025 ·

4 min read

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The post Predicting Orioles' next big trade before deadline appeared first on ClutchPoints .

As MLB's 2025 trade deadline approaches, the Baltimore Orioles find themselves at a crossroads few expected just months ago. After back-to-back playoff appearances, the O's were projected to be contenders in the American League East. Instead, a combination of injuries, underperformance, and a grueling schedule has left them buried in the standings, well out of the playoff picture, and forced to confront the reality of becoming sellers at the deadline

This abrupt shift in trajectory has generated significant buzz throughout the league. Rival executives are watching closely, knowing that Baltimore's roster is loaded with attractive short-term assets. The Orioles, guided by GM Mike Elias, must now balance the disappointment of 2025 with the opportunity to retool for a brighter future.

The Orioles' Selling Position

Baltimore's struggles have been well-documented. Sitting nine games under .500 and double-digit games behind the division-leading Blue Jays , the Orioles' postseason odds have plummeted below 4%. While Elias has publicly maintained hope for a turnaround, his recent comments signal a pragmatic approach: "We're still fighting and playing for 2025… but there is a Deadline coming up, and we're going to have to make a strategic decision around that sometime [within the next] month".

The Orioles' roster is uniquely positioned to impact the trade market. Unlike other sellers, Baltimore boasts a collection of expiring contracts and versatile veterans who could immediately upgrade contending teams. The names generating the most interest are first baseman/outfielder Ryan O'Hearn, center fielder Cedric Mullins , and an assortment of veteran pitchers, including Zach Eflin and Charlie Morton .

Trade Chips: Who's on the Block?

Ryan O'Hearn is the most coveted bat on the roster. The left-handed slugger is enjoying a career-best season, slashing over .300 with power and on-base skills that make him a fit for any lineup. With free agency looming, O'Hearn's value is at its peak, and the Orioles are motivated to clear a path for top prospect Coby Mayo at first base.

Cedric Mullins, a fan favorite and former All-Star, is another likely trade candidate. Though his production has dipped since a red-hot April, Mullins' speed, defense, and postseason experience make him a desirable addition for teams seeking outfield help.

On the pitching side, veterans Zach Eflin and Charlie Morton offer innings and playoff experience, though inconsistent performances and sizable salaries temper their trade value. The Orioles' willingness to absorb salary in deals could sweeten the pot for contenders, maximizing the return in prospects.

The Predicted Trade

After surveying the landscape, the most probable blockbuster deal before the deadline is Ryan O'Hearn being traded to the Seattle Mariners . The Mariners, locked in a tight AL West race and desperate for left-handed thump, have been aggressively scouting O'Hearn. Seattle's offense has lagged behind its pitching, and O'Hearn's ability to play first base, corner outfield, and serve as a DH fits perfectly with their needs.

Baltimore, meanwhile, is seeking young, controllable talent to supplement its next wave of prospects. The Mariners' system, while not as deep as in years past, still offers intriguing options.

Projected Trade Proposal

Orioles receive:

Michael Morales
Tyler Locklear

Mariners receive:

Ryan O'Hearn

This package gives the Orioles a speedy high-upside pitching prospect in Morales and a power-hitting infielder in Locklear. For Seattle, O'Hearn immediately lengthens their lineup and provides much-needed left-handed power for the stretch run.

For the Orioles, moving O'Hearn accomplishes several objectives. First, it opens first base for Coby Mayo, a top-30 prospect who needs regular at-bats to continue his development. Second, it injects more young talent into the system, aligning with Baltimore's plan to return to contention in 2026 and beyond. With Morales and Locklear provide depth at positions of need.

For the Mariners, acquiring O'Hearn is a statement of intent. Seattle's pitching staff has kept them afloat, but their offense has struggled to generate runs. O'Hearn's left-handed bat adds balance and power, and his versatility allows the Mariners to mix and match lineups as needed. With the AL West up for grabs, this move could be the difference between a playoff berth and another October at home.

The Orioles' decision to sell at the deadline will have ripple effects across the league. Baltimore's expiring contracts are among the most attractive on the market, and their willingness to absorb salary could set the tone for other deals. The front office's ability to maximize returns for O'Hearn, Mullins, and possibly others will shape the franchise's trajectory for years to come.

Fans may be disappointed to see familiar faces depart, but the reality is that this deadline represents a chance to reset and build around a talented young core. With Adley Rutschman , Gunnar Henderson , and Jackson Holliday anchoring the next era, the Orioles are positioned to reload quickly if they execute these trades wisely.

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