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MLB insider predicts 2 Red Sox outfielders’ odds to get traded
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- MLB insider predicts 2 Red Sox outfielders’ odds to get traded
The Red Sox have a logjam in their outfield and must decide how they want to proceed for the 2026 season.
Wilyer Abreu , Jarren Duran , Roman Anthony and Ceddanne Rafaela all make up Boston ’s outfield. What each player brings to the lineup and in the field makes it hard to rotate them. Abreu and Duran’s name have come up in trade rumors in the past, and have so once again this winter.
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ESPN’s Jeff Passan gave both outfielders a 50% chance to be traded.
Here’s the MLB insider’s explanation on Duran:
“The Red Sox are valuing Duran more like the seven-win player of 2024 than his 4-win version in 2025. Either way, his addition can instantaneously make a team better, and Boston can hold out for a big return because the Red Sox don’t have to deal him. At some point, though, the Red Sox will have to move Duran or Wilyer Abreu. Keeping full-time-quality players for less than full-time roles rarely works out well.”
Passan listed the Detroit Tigers , San Francisco Giants , Pittsburgh Pirates , Philadelphia Phillies , New York Mets , Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks as potential fits.
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Here’s what Passan wrote about Abreu:
“It has long been expected that either Duran or Abreu would be dealt once Roman Anthony arrived, and with Boston seeking big bats on the free agent market, either outfielder could bring back some necessary pitching. Abreu is three years younger than Duran, has won back-to-back Gold Gloves in right field and comes with four years of club control, which makes the high asking price understandable.”
Abreu’s best fits, according to Passan, are the Tigers, Giants, Pirates, Phillies, Mets, Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros .
Passan reported in November that the Red Sox will “almost surely” trade either Duran or Abreu.
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Duran’s name came up in trade rumors at the 2025 deadline , but Boston elected to hold onto him. He recently signed a one-year, $7.7 million contract to avoid arbitration.
Abreu is fresh off his second straight Gold Glove and under team control through 2028.
Teams have expressed interest in both outfielders. Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow said the Red Sox will stay open-minded about trade conversations.
“Going back to the trade deadline teams have expressed interest in some of our players,” Breslow said . “I don’t think that’s surprising. And other teams recognize where we are. So we’ll stay open-minded with those conversations, but again we’re going to hold a really high bar.”
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