The wild, wild Western Conference isn't for the faint of heart.
With the regular season set to end on Sunday, teams are still jostling for position in the conference standings. Among the heavyweights is the OKC Thunder (56-25) , which is in first place thanks to a three-way tiebreaker with Minnesota and Denver .
Basketball Reference has a playoff probabilities report that has done 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, including the play-in round. It also projects each team's chance of winning the conference and NBA finals.
Here's how the rest of the Thunder 's season is projected to play out. This article will be updated daily.
More: OKC Thunder schedule: How to watch the Thunder in 2023-24 NBA season
OKC Thunder projections for 2023-24 NBA playoffs
Projections are updated as of Saturday, April 13
Eastern Conference
| RK |
TEAM |
W/L record |
Win Conference Finals |
Win Finals |
| 1 |
63.9-18.1 |
76.9% |
60.8% |
|
| 2 |
49.5-32.5 |
3.9% |
1.3% |
|
| 3 |
49.7-32.3 |
9.4% |
4% |
|
| 4 |
48.9-33.1 |
2.7% |
0.7% |
|
| 5 |
46.5-35.5 |
1.4% |
0.3% |
|
| 6 |
46.7-35.3 |
2.4% |
0.6% |
|
| 7 |
46.7-35.3 |
2.4% |
0.6% |
|
| 8 |
45.8-36.2 |
0.9% |
0.2% |
|
| 9 |
39.3-42.7 |
|||
| 10 |
36.3-45.7 |
|||
| 11 |
32.3-49.7 |
|||
| 12 |
25.2-56.8 |
|||
| 13 |
20.1-61.9 |
|||
| 14 |
15.1-66.9 |
|||
| 15 |
14.4-67.6 |
More: Does OKC Thunder own the tiebreaker over Nuggets, Timberwolves? Explaining NBA rules
Western Conference
| RK |
TEAM |
W/L record |
Win Conference Finals |
Win Finals |
| 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
56.7-25.3 |
30.1% |
10.8% |
| 2 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
56.7-25.3 |
28.2% |
10.3% |
| 3 |
Denver Nuggets |
56.8-25.2 |
13.7% |
3.9% |
| 4 |
51.6-30.4 |
8.2% |
1.8% |
|
| 5 |
50.3-31.7 |
4.9% |
1% |
|
| 6 |
49.7-32.3 |
8.7% |
2.5% |
|
| 7 |
48.3-33.7 |
3.2% |
0.6% |
|
| 8 |
45.8-36.2 |
1.3% |
0.2% |
|
| 9 |
46.3-35.7 |
0.4% |
0.1% |
|
| 10 |
45.7-36.3 |
1.3% |
0.2% |
|
| 11 |
40.4-41.6 |
|||
| 12 |
31.3-50.7 |
|||
| 13 |
27.2-54.8 |
|||
| 14 |
21.6-60.4 |
|||
| 15 |
21.2-60.8 |
This article originally appeared on Oklahoman: OKC Thunder 2023-24 playoff projections: Seeding, championship odds

