2025 Bowl Projections after Week 11: Texas Tech Rising, ACC Chaos Shakes Up Playoff Field
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- 2025 Bowl Projections after Week 11: Texas Tech Rising, ACC Chaos Shakes Up Playoff Field
College football's Week 11 schedule produced several results that significantly altered the projected playoff field and bowl projections following Saturday's action. Ohio State and Indiana remain the top two seeds after road wins in conference play, with Texas A&M, Alabama, and Georgia rounding out the top five. Texas Tech's Big 12 title and playoff hopes took a massive step forward with a blowout victory over BYU, while the race to win the ACC is wide open after losses by Virginia and Louisville. Notre Dame moved one step closer to the playoff after an easy win over Navy.
Week 11 results also impacted bowl games outside of the College Football Playoff. Vanderbilt moves up in the SEC bowl pecking order after beating Auburn, while BYU drops out of the projected field to the Pop-Tarts Bowl. With the SEC expected to fall short of having enough bowl-eligible squads to fill its allotted bowl slots, some shuffling among teams and conferences is likely.
Just missing the bowl projections after Week 11: Clemson, North Carolina, Appalachian State, Utah State, Georgia Southern, South Carolina, Penn State, Rutgers, West Virginia, Maryland, UCF, Kentucky, Auburn, Louisiana, Rice, Florida Atlantic, Texas State, Wyoming, and FIU.
How will the postseason matchups look by December? Below are Athlon Sports' preseason predictions for every bowl and playoff game in 2025-26 after Week 11:
Location:SoFi Bowl in Inglewood, Calif.
Tie-In:Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Projection:San Diego State vs. Washington
Location:Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala.
Tie-In:MAC vs. Sun Belt
Projection:Jacksonville State* vs. Coastal Carolina
Location:Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In:Sun Belt vs. AAC/CUSA/MAC
Projection:James Madison vs. Ohio
Location:Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala.
Tie-In: Sun Belt/AAC/CUSA/MAC
Projection:Arkansas State vs. Western Michigan
Location:Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C.
Tie-In: Sun Belt vs. AAC/CUSA/MAC
Projection:Marshall vs. Liberty
Location:Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
Tie-In:ACC vs. SEC
Projection:Memphis vs. Florida State
Location:Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
Tie-In:MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection:Buffalo vs. UNLV
Location:Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Fla.
Tie-In:AAC/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt
Projection:North Texas vs. Old Dominion
Location:Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
Tie-In:Conference USA vs. Sun Belt
Projection:Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss
Location:TBD in Frisco, Texas
Tie-In:AAC/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt
Projection:UConn vs. Kansas
Location:Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii
Tie-In:American vs. Mountain West
Projection:California* vs. Hawaii
Location:Ford Field in Detroit, Mich.
Tie-In:Big Ten vs. MAC
Projection:Rutgers vs. Toledo
Location:Chase Field in Phoenix, Ariz.
Tie-In:Big 12 vs. Big Ten
Projection:Iowa State vs. Northwestern
Location:Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas
Tie-In:Big 12/AAC/CUSA/ACC
Projection:UTSA vs. Boise State
Location:Navy-Marine Corps Stadium in Annapolis, Md.
Tie-In:ACC vs. American
Projection:Duke vs. Navy
Location:Yankee Stadium in Bronx, N.Y.
Tie-In:ACC vs. Big Ten
Projection:NC State vs. Illinois
Location:Fenway Park in Boston, Mass.
Tie-In:ACC vs. American
Projection:Wake Forest vs. Temple
Location:Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In:ACC vs. Big 12
Projection:Louisville vs. BYU
Location:Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz.
Tie-In:MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection:Central Michigan vs. Fresno State
Location:University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M.
Tie-In:Conference USA vs. Mountain West
Projection:Washington State* vs. New Mexico
Location:EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla.
Tie-In:ACC vs. SEC
Projection:Miami vs. Tennessee
Location:NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
Tie-In:Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection:TCU vs. Mississippi State
Location:Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala.
Tie-In:ACC/American vs. SEC
Projection:East Carolina vs. Troy
Location: Independence Stadium in Shreveport, La.
Tie-In:Conference USA vs. Big 12
Projection:Kennesaw State vs. Kansas State
Location:Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn.
Tie-In:Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection:Minnesota vs. LSU
Location:Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
Tie-In:Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Projection:Houston vs. USC
Location:Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
Tie-In:Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection:Nebraska vs. Oklahoma
Location:Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso, Texas
Tie-In:ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection:SMU vs. Arizona
Location:Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In:Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection:Michigan vs. Vanderbilt
Location:Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.
Tie-In:Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Projection:Iowa vs. Arizona State
Location:Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Tie-In:Big 12 vs. AAC/CUSA
Projection:Baylor vs. Army
Location:Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tenn.
Tie-In:Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection:Cincinnati vs. Tulane*
Location:Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C.
Tie-In:ACC vs. SEC
Projection:Virginia vs. Missouri
Location:Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif.
Tie-In:ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection:Pitt vs. Utah
Location:TBD
Tie-In:Conference USA vs. MAC
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Miami (Ohio)
Games to be played on Dec. 19 and Dec. 20. Contests will be played at home site of higher-ranked team.
No. 5 Georgia vs. No. 12 South Florida
No. 6 Ole Miss vs. No. 11 Georgia TechNo. 7 Texas Tech vs. No. 10 Texas
No. 8 Oregon vs. No. 9 Notre Dame
Location:AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
Projection:No. 2 Indiana vs. No. 7 Texas Tech
Location:Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.
Projection:No. 4 Alabama vs. No. 5 Georgia
Location:Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, Calif.
Projection:No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 9 Notre Dame
Location:Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
Projection:No. 3 Texas A&M vs. No. 6 Ole Miss
Location:State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
Projection:No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Alabama
Location:Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga.
Projection:No. 2 Indiana vs. No. 3 Texas A&M
Date:Jan. 19, 2026
Location:Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.
Projection:Ohio State over Texas A&M
*Indicates conference not projected to fulfill all of its bowl tie-ins. An at-large team will be selected to fill those spots.
Related: Top 25 Predictions: What the AP Poll Will Look Like After Week 11
Related: College Football Bowl Projections for 2025-26
Related: College Football Coaching Carousel Rankings: Rating the Open Jobs in the 2025-26 Cycle
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This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Nov 9, 2025, where it first appeared in the College Football section. Add Athlon Sports as a Preferred Source by clicking here.