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2027 NFL mock draft: Arch Manning, four more QBs top way-too-early projection
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- 2027 NFL mock draft: Arch Manning, four more QBs top way-too-early projection
Don't blame anyone for looking ahead to the 2027 NFL Draft as this year's event wraps up . Decision-makers in the league have already had their eye out on next spring's proceedings for some time.
The NFL draft annually gives rise to a "wait-'til-next-year" mentality, with heightened scrutiny around the current class dovetailing with optimism about future prospects who haven't been picked apart. This time, however, the dynamic might at least be partially justified.
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With quarterbacks Arch Manning and Dante Moore returning to their respective schools this fall and star wide receiver Jeremiah Smith becoming draft eligible, the stars have aligned for the 2027 class to be a special one. The promise doesn't stop there, however. Several other marquee figures shape up as promising early picks, and more top talent could emerge this fall.
If there were any doubts about whether teams are buying into the forthcoming group being stronger than this year's edition, teams' refusal this week to part with early 2027 draft picks should speak volumes.
Projecting the course of the first round a year out is an exercise in futility, of course. But our way-too-early 2027 NFL mock draft attempts to make sense of where every team – in our projected order – could turn a year from now:
2027 NFL mock draft
1. New York Jets – Arch Manning, QB, Texas
A year ago, Manning was a staple of these exercises despite having only a minimal body of work. Those projections proved premature, but they weren't off base. After a tumultuous start to taking over the reins for the Longhorns, Manning settled down and showcased the tantalizing skill set that puts him at the head of the class for next year. There's still work to be done, particularly in becoming much more precise when throwing on the move, but Manning would provide an unparalleled level of hope and excitement to a franchise that doesn't look equipped to end the lengthiest active postseason drought in North American men's team sports anytime soon.
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2. Miami Dolphins – Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State
Taking a wide receiver this early certainly isn't part of the roster-building playbook to which Dolphins general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan subscribed when he was with the Packers . Smith, however, is no ordinary pass catcher. The Buckeyes star has looked pro-ready since he arrived in Columbus, setting himself apart from his peers with his 6-3, 223-pound frame and elite track record for coming down with contested catches. This would make Smith the highest-drafted pure receiver since Calvin Johnson went No. 2 overall in 2007, but he looks fully worthy of such a lofty investment.
3. Arizona Cardinals – Dante Moore, QB, Oregon
Even with Jeremiyah Love in the fold, Arizona's offense likely won't take off until it can find a true catalyst behind center. Outside of his College Football Playoff meltdown, Moore exhibited remarkable poise in piloting the Ducks' attack. If he cuts down on his lapses under pressure, the 6-3, 206-pound signal-caller could help make the Cardinals relevant in the hypercompetitive NFC West.
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4. Atlanta Falcons – Leonard Moore, CB, Notre Dame
Arthur Blank ran out of patience and blew up the Falcons' leadership team, choosing to bring president of football Matt Ryan , general manager Ian Cunningham and coach Kevin Stefanski aboard to oversee a new day for the franchise. The roster could be next up on the demolition list. While Atlanta already added cornerback Avieon Terrell alongside brother A.J. , it probably would stand to benefit greatly by adding Moore, a coverage maven who recorded five interceptions last year and is the only consensus All-American on defense set to return to college football in 2026.
5. Tennessee Titans – Trevor Goosby, OT, Texas
The Carnell Tate pick revealed how much of a premium Tennessee is placing on equipping Cam Ward with the help that was absent throughout his rookie campaign. The next step might be revisiting his protection plan after big-ticket left tackle Dan Moore Jr. flopped in his first season with the Titans. Had he declared, Goosby would have had a solid case to be the top offensive lineman selected. Instead, he's the clear front-runner for that honor in 2027.
6. Las Vegas Raiders – Jordan Seaton, OT, LSU
Seems safe to say that all of the Raiders' plans will be colored by a desire to safeguard and support Fernando Mendoza. Picking up Seaton would certainly serve that end, as the Colorado transfer has carved out a deserved reputation as one of college football's premier pass protectors. He still has work to do to become a more consistent force in the run game, but he could team with Kolton Miller to prevent edge rushers from throwing Mendoza off his rhythm.
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7. Cleveland Browns – CJ Carr, QB, Notre Dame
The nightmarish Deshaun Watson ordeal can finally come to a close after this season, though its specter will remain even beyond the dead cap hits that Cleveland is set to carry in future years. Moving on would be a lot easier if the Browns could pull themselves out of quarterback purgatory with a figure like Carr. The 6-3, 210-pound passer will have to prove this season that he can drive an offense without Jeremiyah Love and Jadrian Price, but his poise and efficiency already stand out.
8. New York Giants – Cam Coleman , WR, Texas
Maybe Malik Nabers would be satisfied with the Giants' draft plan in John Harbaugh's second go-around if it included a major weapon to take pressure off him. Coleman would further enhance Jaxson Dart 's ability to attack deep, with few cornerbacks proving themselves capable of matching his speed and jump-ball prowess. He's not likely to catch up to Smith's draft stock, but he's far from a consolation prize.
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9. New Orleans Saints – Colin Simmons, DE/OLB, Texas
A Saints defense in transition is overdue for the youth movement that's helped reinvigorate the offense. Simmons has quickly established himself as one of college football's premier pass rushers after compiling 21 sacks in his first two years. He could be a cornerstone for a unit that was long propped up by Cameron Jordan .
10. Washington Commanders – Dylan Stewart, DE/OLB, South Carolina
What a homecoming this would be for the Washington D.C. native. As a true freshman, he looked the part of a potential No. 1 pick, with a truly rare burst off the line of scrimmage. If the 6-5, 245-pounder rediscovers his form after something of a letdown campaign last year, he'll no doubt be in the mix to be off the board very early. The Commanders could team him with Odafe Oweh to give themselves the supreme athleticism off the edge that they lacked in Dan Quinn's first two seasons at the helm.
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11. Jets (from Indianapolis Colts ) – KJ Bolden, S, Georgia
Taking a safety this early might seem like a luxury for a Jets roster with so many unsettled spots. Bolden, however, can be a load-bearing asset for a secondary that lacks much in the way of dependability. Despite being listed at 6-0 and 185 pounds, he makes his presence felt in the run game and can handle a variety of coverage assignments.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jamari Johnson, TE, Oregon
The post-Mike Evans life might quickly reveal how badly the Buccaneers miss having a supersized option in the passing game. At 6-5 and 257 pounds, Johnson can handle in-line work and win contested catches while also stretching defenses vertically and doing damage after the catch. He could be in for a star turn with Kenyon Sadiq off to the Jets.
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13. Pittsburgh Steelers – Drew Mestemaker, QB, Oklahoma State
Texas Tech's Brendan Sorsby was our original pick here, but the gambling probe threatening his eligibility clouds his NFL future. Omar Khan unquestionably has a type when it comes to quarterbacks: Sturdy and strong-armed passers built to weather the elements in the AFC North. Pittsburgh went for that prototype in Drew Allar , but they might be in search of a more viable successor to Aaron Rodgers next year. At 6-4 and 211 pounds with no trouble pushing the ball downfield, Mestemaker more than clears the bar when it comes to the Steelers' desired traits. The North Texas transfer still has to prove himself against heightened quality of competition, and the redshirt sophomore might not declare so early in his career. But if the former walk-on again takes college football by storm after his stunning debut, Pittsburgh could have its quarterback of the future.
14. Jets (from Dallas Cowboys ) – Ellis Robinson IV, CB, Georgia
Let's double-dip on talented Bulldog defensive backs to remake the Jets secondary. Robinson recorded four interceptions last season, and his playmaking streak would surely stand out on a defense that didn't manage to pull down a single pick in 2025.
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15. Carolina Panthers – Quincy Rhodes, DE/OLB, Arkansas
After following up two Day 2 picks at edge in 2025 with the massive Jaelan Phillips contract this spring, this might seem like a lot for Carolina to throw at one spot. Yet if their young alternatives hit a snag in their development opposite Phillips, it will be mighty tempting to look to Rhodes, who surprised many by returning to school. An imposing matchup at 6-6 and 276 pounds, he's already got a nifty spin move at his disposal and could add more tricks to his arsenal.
16. Cincinnati Bengals – Zabien Brown, CB, Alabama
DJ Turner II and Dax Hill are both entering the final year of their respective contracts. Bringing back both seems like a stretch for an organization that already has made significant top-of-market commitments elsewhere. At 6-0 and 194 pounds with the physical mentality and make-up speed to handle press coverage, Brown clears the bar on plenty of traits the Bengals covet from their defensive backs.
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17. Minnesota Vikings – Ahmad Hardy, RB, Missouri
If the Kyler Murray trial run proves fruitful, it seems likely that both sides would want to re-up with one another next offseason. Minnesota could continue to transform its backfield, however, by bringing on a replacement for Aaron Jones , who will turn 32 in December and took a significant pay cut to stick around for 2026. At 5-10 and 210 pounds, Hardy is more Ashton Jeanty than Jeremiyah Love, though it remains to be seen whether he can transcend the running back value conversation the way either ball carrier did.
18. Detroit Lions – Will Heldt, DE, Clemson
The Lions traded up in the second round to take Derrick Moore as Aidan Hutchinson 's running mate, but it might be hard to resist first-round options next year. One promising possibility could be Heldt, who was talented enough to change the mind of noted transfer holdout Dabo Swinney. If the 6-6, 260-pound edge rusher continues to develop after posting 7 1/2 sacks last season, he could enjoy the draft surge that many of his former teammates missed out on in this cycle.
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19. Baltimore Ravens – Kelley Jones, CB, Mississippi State
Change could soon be afoot in Baltimore's secondary, which is scheduled to have Marlon Humphrey and Chidobe Awuzie hit free agency after next year. A towering presence on the back end at 6-4 and 195 pounds, Jones could help the Ravens combat the likes of Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and DK Metcalf in the AFC North.
20. Houston Texans – Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa, LB, Notre Dame
There's not much missing from DeMeco Ryans ' defense, which routinely overwhelms opponents with the sheer force of its starters. But linebackers Azeez Al-Shaair and Henry To'oTo'o are both entering the final year of their deals, and money will be a tight for a franchise with so much top-of-market talent. Viliamu-Asa can patrol the second level as a trusted run stopper.
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21. Kansas City Chiefs – Trey'Dez Green, TE, LSU
Here's a fun vision for a Travis Kelce successor. At 6-7 and 240 pounds, Green would give Patrick Mahomes an easy button in the red zone and on jump balls. Plying his trade under Kelce and learning how to threaten defenses as a detached option would set the mismatch creator up for long-term success.
22. Philadelphia Eagles – Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State
If Jalen Hurts doesn't receive a contract extension this offseason and struggles to mesh with new offensive coordinator Sean Mannion's plan, things could come to a head next offseason for the Eagles and their star quarterback. Sayin could be a somewhat confounding evaluation coming from an Ohio State offense that affords him a good deal of luxuries. But while some might have questions about his modest size (6-1, 208 pounds) and limitations outside of the pocket, there's no question he can play the role of a quick-processing and precise distributor.
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23. Cowboys (from Packers) – Nick Marsh, WR, Indiana
George Pickens might soon be running an out route after Dallas informed the franchise-tagged receiver it wouldn't be offering him an extension before the season . Should a trade materialize or the Cowboys simply want to move on, they could use their second first-rounder from the Micah Parsons deal to find a replacement. Marsh presents a comparable skill set, highlighted by the 6-3, 203-pounder's penchant for pulling down contested catches and a clear comfort working deep. He could flourish in Indiana's offense after transferring from Michigan State.
24. San Francisco 49ers – Koi Perich, S, Oregon
The back end of the 49ers' defense hasn't generated many splash plays in recent years. Perich, who dabbled at receiver at Minnesota and also was a standout returner, could change the dynamic of the secondary. At 6-1 and 200 pounds, he could be on the Dillon Thieneman trajectory as a supreme athlete looking to rediscover his top form with the Ducks after moving over from a Big Ten school.
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25. Jacksonville Jaguars – David Stone, DT, Oklahoma
At the center of the Jaguars' defensive turnaround was a heavy emphasis on creating chaos. The interior defensive line, however, didn't live up to the standard set by the rest of the unit. Coordinator Anthony Campanile would surely find a way to take advantage of Stone's rapid initial burst and imposing length - qualities that could make him a top-15 pick if he continues along his current trajectory.
26. Buffalo Bills – Damon Wilson II, DE, Miami (Fla.)
For the Bills to truly thrive in new defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard 's system, the franchise might need to break from some of its past proclivities. That could mean trying to jolt a stubborn edge rush with Wilson, who isn't yet a reliable presence against the run but could be in line to follow ex-Hurricanes Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor as an early pick after transferring from Missouri.
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27. Los Angeles Chargers – A'Mauri Washington, DT, Oregon
Jim Harbaugh's quest to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball seems bound to extend to next offseason. Washington moves astonishingly well for a 330-pounder, but his real value to the Chargers would be the double teams he draws and run plays he routinely blows up.
28. Chicago Bears – Ahmad Moten, DT, Miami (Fla.)
Dennis Allen's defense might require more meaningful disruption from the interior than Gervon Dexter Sr. and Grady Jarrett can provide. Moten's quick-twitch movements that leave plodding blockers playing catch-up could yield the level of penetration that Allen relishes.
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29. New England Patriots – Whit Weeks, LB, LSU
Might this pick belong to Philadelphia by the summer? A post-June 1 trade for A.J. Brown would make ample sense for all parties. For the time being, let's instead equip New England with Weeks, who was waylaid by a broken ankle last season but could be a terror on blitzes for a Patriots defense that likes to keep its opponents guessing.
30. Los Angeles Rams – Princewill Umanmielen, DE/OLB, LSU
Byron Young is set to be a free agent after this season, and re-signing a potentially pricy veteran edge rusher might not be on the docket for a team with so many other hefty financial commitments. A two-time transfer from Nebraska and Mississippi, Umanmielen - the brother of Panthers outside linebacker Princely Umanmielen - could form an imposing tandem with Jared Verse if he continues to develop after posting nine sacks last year.
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31. Denver Broncos – A.J. Holmes Jr., DT, Texas Tech
After the Jaylen Waddle trade, the Broncos might be poised to boast the AFC's most well-balanced roster for some time. Holmes would make Denver's stacked defense ramp up the pressure on opponents even further while demanding attention and creating opportunities for others.
32. Seattle Seahawks – Mateen Ibirogba, DT, Texas Tech
Mike Macdonald's deep and varied pass rush appears due for upheaval next year, with defensive tackle Leonard Williams and edge rushers Uchenna Nwosu and Derick Hall all unsigned beyond this season. A former edge rusher at Georgetown, Ibirogba bulked up to become an interior pest at Wake Forest but maintained the explosiveness and versatility that Macdonald and general manager John Schneider would no doubt appreciate.
(This story has been updated with new information.)
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: 2027 NFL mock draft: Arch Manning, QBs top way-too-early projection
