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Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Pick, NBA Odds for Wednesday, November 4
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- Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Pick, NBA Odds for Wednesday, November 4
Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images. Pictured: Isaiah Hartenstein.
The Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3) and Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. The game will broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Thunder are 2.5-point favorites over the Cavaliers on the spread, with the over/under set at 228.5 total points. The Thunder are -135 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Cavaliers are listed as +114 underdogs to pull off the upset.
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Let's get into my Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictionsand NBA picks for Wednesday, November 4.
Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction
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Cavaliers vs Thunder pick: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 Rebounds
My Cavaliers vs. Thunder best bet is Isaiah Hartenstein to record over 10.5 rebounds, with the best price currently available at DraftKings . Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Cavaliers vs Thunder Odds
Cavaliers vs OKC odds 11/4
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Cavaliers vs Thunder spread:Thunder -2.5 (-105), Cavaliers +2.5 (-115)
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Cavaliers vs Thunder over/under:228.5 (-110o / -110u)
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Cavaliers vs Thunder moneyline:Cavaliers +114, Thunder -135
Cavaliers vs Thunder NBA Preview
The Cavaliers have a very specific defensive identity that relies on their massive frontcourt. They consistently run double-big lineups featuring Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen , which forces opposing centers to stay anchored in the paint rather than drifting out to the perimeter.
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Because Cleveland drops their bigs and protects the rim at all costs, opposing centers are placed in perfect rebounding position for most of their minutes.
The Cavs' sheer size dictates the geometry of the floor, creating a congested interior that naturally generates high-volume rebounding scrums.
The Thunder are currently dealing with an apocalyptic injury report in their frontcourt: Jalen Williams is questionable; Cason Wallace is out — they are completely lacking size; Isaiah Hartenstein is quite literally their only remaining true big man.
While they still have rookie Aday Mara , he is highly prone to foul trouble and only played 20 minutes last game; he simply isn't going to be trusted with 30-plus minutes against Cleveland's massive front line.
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Hartenstein got hooked in this same matchup last game on his 23.5 PRA line because he couldn't score, but he still pulled down 14 rebounds on 25 rebound chances. He is likely going to be forced into heavy minutes strictly out of necessity in this spot.
Cavaliers vs Thunder Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm taking Isaiah Hartenstein to go over 10.5 rebounds tonight. I initially looked at his rebounds & assists combo prop at 14.5, but given how his assist numbers have fluctuated, I would rather isolate the rebounding angle.
Hartenstein just pulled down 14 boards on 25 chances against these same Cavaliers double-bigs a night ago.
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Cleveland's offensive and defensive schemes inherently keep Hartenstein stationed in the paint, giving him a high floor for rebound chances.
With Mara unlikely to eat into the closing rotation and the Thunder desperate for interior presence, Hartenstein should see plenty of minutes and clear this 10.5 number with relative ease.
Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 Rebounds — DraftKings
