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Chiefs vs Broncos Predictions, Picks, NFL Odds
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- Chiefs vs Broncos Predictions, Picks, NFL Odds
Reuters Connect/Imagn. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes, Bo Nix.
The Chiefs (5-1) take on the Broncos (5-2) today in NFL Week 8. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Col. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites on the spread (Chiefs -1.5; -102); the over/under is 41.5 (-112o / -108u). Kansas City is a -112 moneyline favorite while Denver is -104.
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Let's get into my Chiefs vs Broncos predictionsfor today's AFC West clash.
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Chiefs vs Broncos pick: Broncos +1.5 (-110)
My Chiefs vs. Broncos best bet is Denver to cover the spread (+1.5), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
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Chiefs vs Broncos Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Total
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Chiefs vs Broncos Spread:Chiefs -1.5 (-102), Broncos +1.5 (-120)
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Chiefs vs Broncos Moneyline:Chiefs -112, Broncos -104
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Chiefs vs Broncos Total:41.5
Chiefs vs Broncos Preview: The Rematch
Chiefs Preview: So … They're Not Back?
Everyone assumed the Chiefs were "back" entering Week 7 — then they were dismantled in primetime by the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football, putting up just three points.
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But you have to look at Kansas City's schedule leading up to that game.
The Chiefs played the easiest schedule in the NFL, beating up on dysfunctional teams like the Colts , Dolphins , Raiders , and Chargers — and they easily could have lost to the Colts and Raiders. Even the Chiefs' Week 1 win over the Broncos can be taken with a grain of salt considering the Denver defense put up a dismal — and atypical — tackling effort.
This Kansas City offense is now entirely predicated on Kenneth Walker and the rushing attack. If you can shut him down and get Patrick Mahomes into third-and-long, you have a huge advantage, especially with Kansas City dealing with tackle and receiver injuries .
Vance Joseph's defense has historically given Mahomes fits.
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In Mahomes' 153 career starts, his five starts against the Broncos all rank in the bottom half of his career passer rating. Of the 35 games where Mahomes averaged under 6.5 yards per attempt, three were against Denver. Of the 40 games where he posted under a 46% pass success rate , four were against Denver.
Broncos Preview: The Revenge Game
This is a phenomenal situational spot for the Broncos . They are at home, facing a division rival, and have revenge on their minds after an embarrassing opening-season loss where they had one of the worst tackling performances in NFL history.
I also love the altitude advantage here. Kickers are a perfect 13-for-13 against Kansas City this year, and playing in the Mile High air only helps.
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The Chiefs defense allows 6.6 plays per drive (tied for third-most), while the Broncos offense averages a league-low 5.3 plays per drive.
Something has to give, and I am betting on Denver's offense to sustain drives at home and keep this within the number.
Chiefs vs Broncos Spread Pick, Analysis
We are getting a home underdog with serious a motivational edge and a renowned defensive coordinator in Vance Joseph who knows how to frustrate Patrick Mahomes.
Trending:Mahomes is just 2-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in his last 10 road starts in the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Broncos are a wildly profitable 25-12 ATS as a home underdog when their record sits above .500.
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All signs seem to point toward Denver.
Pick: Broncos +1.5 (-110)
Chiefs vs Broncos Trends
How to Watch Chiefs vs Broncos: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: |
Empower Field at Mile High |
|---|---|
| Date: |
Sunday, Nov. 1 |
| Time: |
4:25 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: |
CBS |
Chiefs vs Broncos Inactives
Chiefs
CB Mansoor Delane
QB Garrett Nussmeier (3rd QB)
FB Ben VanSumeren
DE Jack Pyburn
DE Tyreke Smith
T Diego Pounds
Broncos
QB Sam Ehlinger (3rd QB)
S Talanoa Hufanga
OL Gavin Ortega
OL Kage Casey
TE Dallen Bentley
DL Jordan Jackson
DT Tyler Onyedim
Inactives via Chiefs.com
