Conference USA has turned into a nightmare to figure out.
Jacksonville State lost its head coach and almost all the great players going into last year, and it turned out to be terrific.
Kennesaw State won two games in 2024 and took the CUSA title in 2025. Liberty collapsed, FIU had one of its best seasons in years, and overall, get ready for more unpredictability in 2026.
Here are our first predictions of the season, along with our early win total calls.
Quick Hits
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Projected Highest Total: Liberty & WKU
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Projected Lowest Total: Sam Houston
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Top Unpredictable Team: Missouri State
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Big Call: We will gigantically undersell one of these teams
Conference USA Projected Win Totals
Delaware Blue Hens quarterback Nick Minicucci(4) winds up for a pass against Western Kentucky during Delaware's first home CUSA football game, which was nationally televised, at Delaware Stadium in Newark on Oct. 3, 2025. Western Kentucky won 27-24.© Benjamin Chambers/Delaware News Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
Delaware
CFN Spring Delaware Win Total:5.5
CFN Delaware Projected Record:5-7
Likely Wins:Merrimack
Likely Losses:at Vanderbilt, at Virginia
50/50 Games:Coastal Carolina, FIU, at Kennesaw State, Liberty, at Middle Tennessee, Missouri State, at New Mexico State, at Western Kentucky
2025:Total 4.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 6-6
2024:Total NA | Prediction NA | Record 9-2
- CUSA Spring 2026 First Look Rankings
FIU
CFN Spring FIU Win Total:5.5
CFN FIU Projected Record:6-6
Likely Wins:LIU
Likely Losses:at Liberty, at USF
50/50 Games:Buffalo, at Delaware, at Florida Atlantic, at Jacksonville State, at Kennesaw State, Middle Tennessee, Missouri State, New Mexico State, Sam Houston
2025:Total 5.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 7-5
2024:Total 4.5 | Prediction 5-7 | Record 4-8
Jacksonville State
CFN Spring Jacksonville State Win Total:6.5
CFN Jacksonville State Projected Record:6-6
Likely Wins:Eastern Kentucky
Likely Losses:No sure thing losses
50/50 Games:Delaware, Georgia Southern, at Kennesaw State, Middle Tennessee, Missouri State, at New Mexico State, at North Dakota State, at Ohio, Sam Houston, at Western Kentucky
2025:Total 5.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 8-4
2024:Total 7.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 8-4
Kennesaw State
CFN Spring Kennesaw State Win Total:6.5
CFN Kennesaw State Projected Record:8-4
Likely Wins:West Georgia
Likely Losses:at Tennessee
50/50 Games:at Arkansas State, Delaware, FIU, Georgia State, Jacksonville State, Liberty, at Middle Tennessee, at Missouri State, at Sam Houston, at Western Kentucky
2025:Total 3.5 | Prediction 3-9 | Record 9-3
2024:Total 2.5 | Prediction 2-10 | Record 2-10
Liberty
CFN Spring Liberty Win Total:7.5
CFN Liberty Projected Record:8-4
Likely Wins:Gardner-Webb
Likely Losses:at James Madison
50/50 Games:Ball State, at Coastal Carolina, at Delaware, FIU, at Kennesaw State, Middle Tennessee, at Missouri State, at New Mexico State, Sam Houston, Western Kentucky
2025:Total 9.5 | Prediction 9-3 | Record 4-8
2024:Total 10.5 | Prediction 10-2 | Record 8-3
Middle Tennessee
CFN Spring Middle Tennessee Win Total:4.5
CFN Middle Tennessee Projected Record:3-9
Likely Wins:Murray State
Likely Losses:at Kansas, at Liberty, at Marshall
50/50 Games:Delaware, FIU, at Jacksonville State, Kennesaw State, Nevada, at New Mexico State, Sam Houston, Western Kentucky
2025:Total 4.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 3-9
2024:Total 4.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 3-9
Missouri State
CFN Spring Missouri State Win Total:4.5
CFN Missouri State Projected Record:4-8
Likely Wins:Lindenwood
Likely Losses:at SMU, at Texas A&M, at Western Kentucky
50/50 Games:at Delaware, at FIU, at Jacksonville State, Kennesaw State, Liberty, Marshall, New Mexico State, Sam Houston
2025:Total 4.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 7-5
2024:Total NA | Prediction NA | Record 8-4
New Mexico State
CFN Spring New Mexico State Win Total:4.5
CFN New Mexico State Projected Record:3-9
Likely Wins:Mercyhurst
Likely Losses:at Florida State, at Hawaii, New Mexico, at Western Kentucky
50/50 Games:Delaware, FIU, Jacksonville State, Liberty, at Middle Tennessee, at Missouri State, at Sam Houston
2025:Total 4.5 | Prediction 5-7 | Record 4-8
2024:Total 4.5 | Prediction 2-10 | Record 3-9
Sam Houston
CFN Spring Sam Houston Win Total:3.5
CFN Sam Houston State Projected Record:3-9
Likely Wins:Nicholls
Likely Losses:at Jacksonville State, at Liberty, at Texas Tech, at Troy, Tulsa
50/50 Games:at FIU, Kennesaw State, Middle Tennessee, at Missouri State, New Mexico State
2025:Total 4.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 2-10
2024:Total 4.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 9-3
Western Kentucky
CFN Spring Western Kentucky Win Total:7.5
CFN Western Kentucky Projected Record:8-4
Likely Wins:Mercyhurst, Missouri State
Likely Losses:at Georgia, at Indiana, Middle Tennessee, at Nevada
50/50 Games:Delaware, Jacksonville State, Kennesaw State, at Liberty, at New Mexico State, at Sam Houston
2025:Total 7.5 | Prediction 8-4 | Record 8-4
2024:Total 7.5 | Prediction 9-3 | Record 8-4
Related: Pac-12 Football 2026 Win Totals: Spring Predictions for All 8 Teams
This story was originally published by College Football News on Apr 30, 2026, where it first appeared in the College Football section. Add College Football News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

