The next major move that the Atlanta Falcons make could be a market-setting new contract for star running back Bijan Robinson . What will that deal look like? According to Bill Barnwell at ESPN , Robinson's next deal will be somewhere in the range of four years and $82 million total.
However, a new model from Austin Mock at The Athletic has Robinson's megadeal with the Falcons coming in a bit larger than that. His projection for Robinson is four years and $87.6 million total, which would put him ahead of Philadelphia Eagles star Saquon Barkley for the highest annual salary in the NFL at the position.
"It should come as little surprise that the model sees Robinson as the league's top running back after an electric 2025 season, which saw him tally a league-high 2,298 scrimmage yards with incredible efficiency both on the ground and through the air. Given that Robinson only turned 24 in January, it makes sense he would become the new king of running back contracts with a market-setting four-year, $87.6 million deal, putting him at almost $22 million per year."
Robinson resetting the market at running back would come as no surprise, but the number that really matters in all NFL contracts is the guaranteed money portion - especially at a position with a high injury rate like Robinson's.
On that score, Mock's model has Robinson's new contract including $52 million in guarantees, which would rank a close second behind Arizona Cardinals rookie Jeremiyah Love's $53 million guaranteed.
That's a lot of cash for any player, but Robinson is the best athlete on the team and will likely be the centerpiece of their offense for at least the next several years. Handing him a lucrative long-term deal sends the right message: that the Falcons intend to reward their best players and build a winner.
This article originally appeared on Falcons Wire: The Athletic has Bijan Robinson beating Saquon Barkley for RB1 money
