Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game
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Ernie Clement has been raking for the battered Toronto Blue Jays , and with a lefty on the mound for the Boston Red Sox , I expect that trend to continue.
Find out more in my Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this April 27 matchup.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions
Red Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+110)
Toronto Blue Jays batter Ernie Clement is second in the AL in hits with 36, and is on a 10-game hitting streak — with knocks in 14 of his last 15 games.
Over that stretch, he’s hitting .359 with 10 extra-base hits. He’s also averaging 2.2 bases per game during this heater.
He's set to face Boston Red Sox southpaw Ranger Suarez , and the infielder has found great success against lefties over the last two seasons.
Clement has a .320 average this year against them after posting a .900 OPS vs. LHP in 2025.
COVERS INTEL:
Ranger Suarez has allowed four or more runs in three of his five starts this season, while posting a 4.99 xERA that ranks in the 28th percentile.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
Suarez is more of a contact pitcher than a strikeout guy, which is great for the disciplined Jays who like to see balls in the zone.
Additionally, the Blue Jays have the lowest strikeout rate in baseball, and Suarez ranks in the 15th percentile in that category with just an 18% whiff rate, which ranks in MLB’s 8th percentile.
I’ll also take the Jays to go Over their team total at 3.5 runs tonight. Toronto has exceeded this run total in five of its last six games, while the Red Sox have allowed an average of 4.57 runs per game against them this season.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays SGP
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Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
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Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 strikeouts
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Blue Jays team total Over 3.5
Red Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+790)
I’ll make this a half-unit wager.
The lefty-on-lefty matchup has to be the reason the price is so juicy for Daulton Varsho at +790, however, the outfielder has fared better at the plate against southpaws this season, posting an .815 OPS against them.
The matchup is great for him, too, as the lefty Suarez throws his sinker at a 45% rate against left-handed hitters. Varsho owns a .412 average and a .647 slug rate against the sinker with a home run, which was hit off a lefty at that.
2026 Transparency record
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Best bets:8-18, -6.95 units
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SGPs:3-23, -10.25 units
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HR picks: 5-21, +0.27 units
Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds
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Moneyline: Boston +1.5 (-180) | Toronto -1.5 (+155)
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Run line: Boston +115 | Toronto -135
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Over/Under: Over 7 (-120) | Under 7 (+100)
Red Sox vs Blue Jays trend
Ernie Clement is currently riding a 10-game hit streak. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Red Sox vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location |
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
|---|---|
| Date |
Monday, April 27, 2026 |
| First pitch |
7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV |
Sportsnet One |
| Red Sox starting pitcher |
Ranger Suarez(1-2, 4.00 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher |
Dylan Cease(1-0, 2.10 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Red Sox vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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