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Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Atlanta Braves hope to remain on a heater when they open a three-game series with the Detroit Tigers tonight.

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Atlanta has won six consecutive series, and our  Tigers vs. Braves predictionsand MLB picks expect that to continue at Truist Park.

Who will win Tigers vs Braves today: Braves (-117)

Casey Mize has pitched well for the Detroit Tigers this season. However,  his last three starts came against teams ranked 24th or worse in ISO.

The Atlanta Braves rank fourth in ISO and third in wRC+. That’s bad news for a pitcher whose hard-hit rate ranks in the 29th percentile. 

Atlanta has also punished opposing bullpens all season, and the Tigers have a subpar one.

Detroit relievers have thrown the fifth-fewest innings, yet rank 15th in HRs and walks allowed. Over the past two weeks, they’ve allowed opponents to hit .299 while posting a 5.60 ERA .

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COVERS INTEL:

If he had enough IP to qualify, Martin Perez ’s -1.93 ERA/FIP differential would be the fourth-largest among all MLB starters this season.

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Tigers vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 9 (+105)

I see value in the Over, in part because Martin Perez is prime for regression.  His xERA is nearly two runs higher than his actual 2.70 ERA , and his 4.44 xFIP is in line with his numbers the past few seasons. 

The Tigers rank second on the season in xwOBA and ninth in BABIP. They’re eighth in ISO and rank third in the metric over the past two weeks.

Perez limits walks and avoids barrels, but he doesn’t generate a lot of whiffs or strikeouts. An inability to avoid contact means the Tigers will get to him for a few runs.

Jason Ence's 2026 Transparency Record

  • ML/RL bets:1-5, -4.5 units

  • Over/Under bets:5-1, +3.91 units

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Tigers vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Tigers +108 | Braves -113

  • Run line: Tigers +1.5 (-178) | Braves -1.5 (+170)

  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+133) | Under Under 9.5 (-144)

Tigers vs Braves trend

The Tigers have cashed their team total Over in eight of their last 10 games for +5.8 units and a 48% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Braves.

How to watch Tigers vs Braves and game info

Location

Truist Park, Atlanta , GA

Date

Tuesday, April 28, 2026

First pitch

7:15 p.m. ET

TV

TBS

Tigers starting pitcher

Casey Mize(2-1, 2.51 ERA)

Braves starting pitcher

Martin Perez(1-1, 2.70 ERA)

Tigers vs Braves latest injuries

Tigers vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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