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UC Davis Aggies at SMU Mustangs NCAAF Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sept. 12, 2026
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- UC Davis Aggies at SMU Mustangs NCAAF Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sept. 12, 2026
The SMU Mustangs will welcome the UC Davis Aggies on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas). The two teams might be coming in a bit winded given they combined for 1,122 yards in their previous games.
SMU is coming home in high spirits after having to open its season on the road. The Mustangs skirted past the Florida State Seminoles 27-24. Kudos to the oddsmakers for accurately forecasting both the winner and the close margin.
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Quarterback Kevin Jennings lifted the offense by throwing for 430 yards and three touchdowns with two INTs while completing 72.2 percent of his passes. That marked his sixth straight game with at least 250 passing yards dating back to last season. Receiver Yannick Smith was another key player, picking up 107 receiving yards and one score.
Even though they won, the Mustangs kept losing the ball and finished the game with four turnovers. They have committed at least three turnovers in each of their last two games dating back to last season.
Meanwhile, UC Davis was not the first on the board in Week 1, but the Aggies got there more often. They claimed a resounding 49-17 victory over the San Diego Toreros. With UC Davis ahead 28-7 at the half, the game was all but over already.
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Quarterback Treynor Cleeland had a dynamite game, throwing for 294 yards and five TDs with one INT. Another player making a difference was running back Matteo Perez, who rushed for 123 yards and one touchdown on only nine carries.
How to Watch UC Davis Aggies at SMU Mustangs
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Date:Sept. 12, 2026
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Time:4 p.m. ET
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Venue:Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas)
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TV:ACC Network Extra
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Streaming:Stream on Fubo
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Buy tickets:Buy Aggies at Mustangs tickets on Gametime
UC Davis Aggies at SMU Mustangs Odds, Line and Spread
Betting lines as of 09/11/2026 at 2:10 PM ET. Odds subject to change. Bet with bet365 .
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Moneyline (ML):Mustangs -3333 | Aggies +1313
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Against the spread (ATS):Mustangs -25.5 (-110) | Aggies +25.5 (-110)
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Over/Under (O/U):58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs Against the Spread and Over/Under
ATS Trends
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SMU: covered 3 straight games at home
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Over/Under Trends
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SMU: under hit in 4 straight games at home (45.8 avg. points)
UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs ATS and Over/Under Records
UC Davis Aggies
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Last season: 0-1 ATS, 1-0 over/under
SMU Mustangs
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This season: 1-0 ATS, 0-1 over/under
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Last season: 7-6 ATS, 4-9 over/under
Players to Watch in UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs
Mustangs Players to Watch
Kevin Jennings Previous Game: 26-36, 430 pass yards, 3 pass TDs, 2 INT at 72.2% cmp
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Led team in passing yards last season
Aggies Players to Watch
Jordan Fisher Previous Game: 64 rush yards, 1 rush TD on 12 carries, 64 rec yards, 1 rec TD on 4 rec
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7 rushing touchdowns in last five games; 4 rushing touchdowns in prior 10 games
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1+ rushing touchdown in five straight games
Samuel Gbatu Jr. Previous Game: 129 rec yards, 2 rec TDs on 9 rec
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Led team in receiving yards last season
Prediction for UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs on Sept. 12, 2026
Aggies 17 – Mustangs 45
ATS Lean: Mustangs
UC Davis has enough offense to make things interesting, but SMU should pull away at home and cover the 25.5-point spread.
Disclosure: Some or all of this content may have been generated by AI. While we strive for accuracy, AI can occasionally produce incorrect information. If you buy something via one of our links, we may earn a commission.
This story was originally published by Athlon Sports on Sep 12, 2026, where it first appeared in the College Football section. Add Athlon Sports as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
