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Jacksonville Jaguars predictions for 2024 NFL season: Experts make their Super Bowl picks
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- Jacksonville Jaguars predictions for 2024 NFL season: Experts make their Super Bowl picks
A new NFL season kicks off tonight. What can Jacksonville Jaguars fans expect in 2024 ?
Last year, they expected another AFC South title, or at least another playoff berth, but that didn't happen. Coach Doug Pederson made changes coming into this season, chiefly replacing defensive coordinator Mike Caldwell with Ryan Nielsen. Trevor Lawrence threw fewer touchdowns and more interceptions last season, but this year he's entrenched as the franchise quarterback with a lofty new contract.
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And he's got new weapons on offense. Running back Travis Etienne , receiver Christian Kirk and tight end Evan Engram will be joined by UCF alum Gabe Davis and rookie Brian Thomas Jr. from LSU. Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker look to continue their punishing pass rush around a rebuilt secondary and get "DUUUVAL" back into the playoffs.
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How will the Jags do in 2024? Here's what experts predict for this season:
USA TODAY : Jacksonville Jaguars win 10 games, make playoffs
Nate Davis was the only one on USA TODAY's six-member panel of writers to pick the Jaguars to make the postseason, doing so as a wild card. USA TODAY's win projection had Jacksonville finishing 10-7.
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ESPN : Tyson Campbell bounces back
Seth Walder writes: "Cornerback Tyson Campbell has had two rough seasons (2021, 2023) and one great one (2022) since joining the NFL. I'll say he bounces back to something closer to what he did in 2022, when he allowed 1.1 yards per coverage snap or less, per NFL Next Gen Stats. For reference, 1.3 is average for an outside corner and Campbell was at 1.6 last season."
ESPN has Jacksonville ranked 16th in its Football Power Index with a 37.5% chance to make the playoffs. It projects the Jaguars to win 8.3 games.
Sporting News : Jacksonville Jaguars finish last in AFC South
Vinnie Iyer has the Jaguars going 7-10, tying the Indianapolis Colts for last in the division. "The Colts will have a few transitional lumps, while the Jaguars might need to face a tough decision on Doug Pederson after the season," he writes.
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SI.com : Jaguars make playoffs behind career year from Trevor Lawrence
John Shipley predicts that with the addition of Brian Thomas Jr. , quarterback Trevor Lawrence will have his first 30-touchdown season. "After the Jaguars went 9-8 in each of the past two years, I think they earn a playoff spot at 10-7 thanks to a strong play from Lawrence and a steadied ship on offense thanks to head coach Doug Pederson," he writes. "The Jaguars may go 2-2 over the first four games, but they have a favorable schedule in terms of strength of quarterbacks moving forward."
Our Jaguars season predictions: See Demetrius Harvey's game-by-game score, record predictions and analysis
The Athletic : Jacksonville Jaguars could win 12 games
Jeff Howe writes: "I think this is a 10-win team. And if the Jaguars play closer to the version that went 15-5 from late 2022 to early 2023, they might have 12-win potential. Of course, a lot will have to go right for that to materialize. My biggest concern is the Jags start at the Dolphins, return home for the Browns, then visit the Bills and Texans . If they aren't on point and fall to 0-4, there's no telling what that could do to their confidence."
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Austin Mock's NFL betting model simulator has Jacksonville winning 8.1 games.
NFL.com : Jacksonville Jaguars miss playoffs
Cynthia Frelund ran 1 million simulations of every game to conclude that Jacksonville will win 8.3 games on average, missing the playoffs. "New DC Ryan Nielsen's scheme is well suited for Jaguars edge rusher Joshua Hines-Allen, and that should mean good things for Jacksonville's defense. Hines-Allen notched 96 pressures in 2023, the second-most in the NFL behind only Micah Parsons (99), per Next Gen Stats," she writes.
ClutchPoints : Trevor Lawrence gains credibility but Jaguars defense still struggles
Matty Breisch says new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen will prove to be a lateral move from Mike Caldwell. "Who knows, maybe having a different voice will be enough to get the Jaguars' defense back on track, but for now, fans shouldn't be too hopeful for a magical turnaround when Nielsen might just bring more of the same," he writes.
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CBS Sports : 2 of 6 writers pick Jacksonville Jaguars to make playoffs
Pete Prisco and Will Brinson picked Jacksonville to finish second in the AFC South but still make the playoffs as a wild card. John Breech and Tyler Sullivan had the Jaguars placing second but missing the postseason. Ryan Wilson put the Jags in third, while Jared Dubin had them finishing last in the division.
Jacksonville Jaguars odds to win Super Bowl 2024
Here are the odds at BetMGM for the outcome of the Jaguars' 2024 season:
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Win AFC East:+300 (2nd-best odds)
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Win AFC:+2500 (T-10th)
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Win Super Bowl:+5000 (T-18th)
Jacksonville Jaguars schedule 2024
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September 8:at Miami , 1 p.m.
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September 15:vs. Cleveland , 1 p.m.
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September 23:at Buffalo , 7:30 p.m.
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September 29:at Houston , 1 p.m.
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October 6:vs. Indianapolis, 1 p.m.
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October 13:at Chicago , 9:30 a.m. in London
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October 20:vs. New England , 9:30 a.m. in London
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October 27:vs. Green Bay , 1 p.m.
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November 3:at Philadelphia , 8:20 p.m.
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November 10:vs. Minnesota , 1 p.m.
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November 17:at Detroit , 1 p.m.
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November 24:Bye
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December 1:vs. Houston, 1 p.m.
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December 8:at Tennessee , 1 p.m.
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December 15:vs. NY Jets , 1 p.m.
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December 22:at Las Vegas , 4:25 p.m.
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December 29:vs. Tennessee, 1 p.m.
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TBA:at Indianapolis
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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Jacksonville Jaguars predictions 2024: NFL expert picks, odds
