The 25 First Basemen With the Best Careers
September 12, 2008 by Michael Hoban · 12 Comments
Here are the 25 first basemen who had the best careers during the 20th century (as measured by the NEWS HOF Gauge).
For a first baseman, a NEWS score of 280 is required to say that he has obvious
All numbers include the 2007 season. Â
Bold print = Hall of Famer
Italic = active player in 2007
CWS = Career Win Shares
CV Â = Â Core Value (sum of win shares for 10 best seasons)
NEWS = Career Value  =  CV  +  .25(CWS – CV)
Here are the 14 First Basemen with obvious Hall of Fame Numbers.
Player | Years | CWS | CV | NEWS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.
|
Lou Gehrig | 1923-1939 | 489 | 384 | 410 |
2.
|
Jimmie Foxx
|
1925-1945 | 435
|
325
|
353
|
3.
|
Willie McCovey | 1959-1980 | 408 | 285 | 316 |
4.
|
Dick Allen | 1963-1977 | 342 | 304 | 314 |
5.
|
Eddie Murray | 1977-1997 | 437 | 273 | 314 |
6.
|
Jeff Bagwell | 1991-2005 | 388 | 287 | 312 |
7.
|
Johnny Mize
|
1936-1953 | 339 | 296
|
307 |
8.
|
Harmon Killebrew
|
1954-1975 | 374 | 279 | 303 |
9.
|
Mark McGwire | 1986-2001 | 342 | 283 | 298 |
10.
|
Rafael Palmeiro | 1986-2005 | 387 | 257 | 290 |
11.
|
Will Clark | 1986-2000 | 331 | 269 | 285 |
12.
|
Jim Thome
|
1991- | 328 | 267 | 282 |
Â
|
Â
|
 |  |  |  |
17.
|
Hank Greenberg | 1930-1947 | 267 | 262 | 263 |
19.
|
Bill Terry | 1923-1936 | 278 | 255 | 261 |
If you consider Frank Thomas to be a first baseman, then he would be on this list.
Â
Since at the end of 2007, he had played more games as the designated hitter (1307) than at first base (971), I consider him to be a DH. Â
In fact, Thomas and Paul Molitor are the only two DHs who have
Player | Years | CWS | CV | NEWS |
---|---|---|---|---|
Frank Thomas
|
1990-
|
400
|
301 | 326 |
As you can see, twelve of the fourteen first basemen with
How is it that Greenberg and Terry (who did not reach the 280 benchmark) are listed as having
Eight of the fourteen players on the list above are already in the Hall of Fame – with Lou Gehrigand Jimmie Foxxemerging with the best numbers.  And Frank Thomas(if considered as a first baseman) has established himself as the best first baseman of the second half of the century.  I think that Frank Thomas and Jeff Bagwellwill have no great trouble being elected when eligible.   Dick Allen, of course, is a different story.  He was on the ballot of the Veteran’s Committee for 2007.  Despite having the best numbers of anyone on that list, he got only 13.4% of the vote – so it does not look like he is ever going to make it.  Allen will continue to be the position player with the best numbers who has been eligible and who is not in the Hall of Fame.
Mark McGwireand Rafael Palmeirohave both been stained by the “steroids scandal.â€
Â
Big Mac was on the BBWAA ballot for the first time in 2007 and got only 23.5% of the vote. Â
In 2008, he got the exact same number of votes (rather remarkable). Â
Will he ever make it? Â
Who knows. Â
And, in my opinion, Palmeiro has no chance unless McGwire is voted in first. Â
Will
Of these fourteen first basemen, only five played during the first half of the century while nine played after 1950.
The Other First Basemen in the Top 25
Here are the eleven other first basemen who round out the top 25 at the position.
Player | CWS | CV | NEWS | |
---|---|---|---|---|
13.
|
Jason Giambi
|
289 | 271 | 276 |
14.
|
Tony Perez | 349 | 249 | 274 |
15.
|
Orlando Cepeda
|
310 | 251 | 266 |
16.
|
Keith Hernandez | 311 | 248 | 264 |
18.
|
Fred McGriff | 326 | 240 | 262 |
20.
|
Norm Cash | 315 | 241 | 260 |
21.
|
Carlos Delgado
|
276 | 248 | 255 |
22.
|
John Olerud | 301 | 239 | 255 |
23.
|
George Sisler
|
292 | 239 | 252 |
24.
|
Don Mattingly | 263 | 241 | 247 |
25.
|
Mark Grace | 294 | 224 | 242 |
And here are two first basemen who are in the Hall of Fame but did not make the top 25.
Player | CWS | CV | NEWS |
---|---|---|---|
Jim Bottomley
|
258
|
214 | 225 |
Frank Chance
|
237
|
206 | 214 |
Note that there are a total of five first basemen who are in the Hall but do not have
Jason Giambi and Carlos Delgado were still active in 2008.  It looks as if Giambi will indeed reach the 280 NEWS benchmark before he is through.  But, of course, he is plagued by “steroid suspicions†which may (almost certainly) hurt his chances of ever being elected to the Hall.  And Delgado (despite a solid 2008 season) appears to be a long shot to reach the 280 mark.Â
Besides Mark McGwire (mentioned above), there were three other first basemen on the 2007 BBWAA ballot: Steve Garvey, Don Mattingly and Wally Joyner.  Only Mattingly is among the top 25 above.  Garvey got 21% of the vote, Mattingly got 10% and Joyner got 0 votes – so none of the three appears to have a chance at election.  Here are the numbers for Garvey and Joyner.
Player | CWS | CV | NEWS |
---|---|---|---|
Steve Garvey
|
279 | 215 | 231 |
Wally Joyner
|
253 | 203 | 216 |
Gil Hodges and Mickey Vernon were two first basemen who were on the 2007 Veteran’s Committee ballot for the Hall.
Â
Neither is among our top 25 first basemen (though
Player | CWS | CV | NEWS |
---|---|---|---|
Mickey Vernon
|
296 | 223 | 241 |
Gil Hodges
|
263 | 221 | 232 |
For more information on the NEWS
Thomas + Molitor are the only 2? How does Edgar Martinez rank in your system?
Maybe we can thin things out a bit if we remember that Allen, Killebrew, Cepeda, McCovey, Perez, Greenberg and Thome all played significant parts of their careers at other positions.
What’s the criteria or percentage of games as a first baseman do you use to qualify someone for the position? Or, why not throw out the games at third base and consider Mike Schmidt a first baseman too?
Maybe a follow up using only the games at first might give us a whole new look?
I don’t want to speak for Mike about this, but I believe the criteria is whichever position a player played the most in his career qualifies him for that respective list. The players on the first base list played most of their games at first base.
Morisseau,
Frank Thomas ranks as the #32 position player of the century with a NEWS score of 326.
Paul Molitor ranks as #44 with a score of 306.
They are the only two DHs who surpass or come close to the benchmark of 280.
Edgar Martinez has a NEWS score of 243.
Mike
Vinnie,
The only logical way to determine what position a player should be identified with is to place him at that position where he played the most games during his career.
So, for example, Alex Rodriguez will alway be a shortstop unless he plays more than 1272 games at another position.
Mike
I know that’s what he was thinking but let’s take Harmon Killebrew. Sure, he played more games at first than any other position but more than half his total appearances were played at other positions.
1B* 969
3B* 791
OF* 470
DH 158 Games not counted in Overall Total below
2B* 11
Overall Total 2241
Same thing with Richie Allen
1B* 807
3B* 652
LF* 256
2B* 4
SS* 3
DH 3
CF 1
Overall Total 1722
How about Jim Thome?
1B*1101
DH 511
3B* 492
Overall Total 1593
Or what do we do with Pete Rose who played more games at first than Allen and only seven fewer than Killebrew? Why couldn’t he also be able to quality?
OF*1327
1B* 939
3B* 634
2B* 628
Overall Total 3528
My point is that guys like these or who play one or more full seasons at other positions can’t be called a “pure” first baseman. Lumping all of them together tends to skew the study.
Vinnie,
I do not think I called anyone a “pure” first baseman. And I am not sure how this method “skews” the study. I have attempted to compare the careers of the players regardless of where each played.
I suppose that we could create a category called “many position players” – but what would be the point? The NEWS score (career score) of these players would not change.
Mike
Also not taken into account in this case (or, perhaps, “these” cases) is how many of those games were spent at 1st base late in a career? Killebrew’s most productive offensive years, it could be argued, came during his younger years, and as a 3rd baseman.
1st base is a place where a good hitter oft times goes to extend his hitting career. Guy like Allen, Killebrew, or Rose were also valuable because of their ability to play multipe positions.
Mike,
I do understand what you’re saying and attempting to do. The only thing I’m trying to point out is that by making the case for these multiple position first basemen, we do diminish in some cases the careers of those who spent their entire careers at that one position.
Either way, I have no problem with what you’re attempting to do. All I’m saying is that in the future you may want to consider making two lists; one that includes all who’ve played a significant number of games at first and for those who played the position exclusively.
Vinnie,
That’s not a bad idea. I remember that Bill James had a list of multi-position stars in his original Historical Baseball Abstract. So in the case of guys like Killebrew and Rose, neither qualified at one specific position, but were ranked as a separate group instead.
Mike,
That would certainly spare us before we got around to assigning what and where to position Ernie Banks, Robin Yount and Craig Biggio, just to name the first three that pop to mind.
Or, if it wasn’t too much trouble, you could see who had the best individual seasons at the positon. Again, a twist on the Jameian peak and career value ranking.
Vinnie,
That’ll be up to Dr. Hoban whether or not he wants to break them down that way. I like the idea, but it’s still his call. Maybe after he posts all the lists, he’d be willing to break them down further.