Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2 prediction, odds, pick for UFC 329

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Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2 prediction, odds, pick for UFC 329

Dominik Zawartko, ClutchPoints · ClutchPoints

Thu, Jul 9, 2026 ·

5 min read

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Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2 prediction, odds, pick for UFC 329 appeared first on ClutchPoints . Add ClutchPoints as a Preferred Source by clicking here .

The moment we've all been waiting for is here as we bring you a prediction and pick for the UFC 329 Main Event taking place in the Welterweight (170) Division. Ireland's own Conor McGregor will make his UFC return against former champ and BMF Max Holloway in a rematch 13 years in the making. Check our UFC 329 odds series for the McGregor-Holloway 2 prediction and pick.

Conor McGregor (22-6) has gone 10-4 during his legendary UFC career since 2013, returning for his first fight since breaking his leg against Dustin Poirier in 2021. The road to recovery has been a roller coaster of emotions for Mystic Mac, but he's confident, calm, and measured ahead of this return fight, arguably ready for his best performance yet. McGregor stands 5-foot-9 with a 74-inch reach.

Max Holloway (27-9) is 23-9 inside his UFC career since 2012, most recently dropping the BMF belt to Charles Oliveira in March 2026. Over his last five, he's beaten the likes of Dustin Poirier and current champ Justin Gaethje, finally able to get his redemption fight against McGregor after losing to him back in 2013. Holloway comes in the stern betting favorite standing 5-foot-11 with a 69-inch reach.

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UFC 329 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings .

UFC 329 Odds: Conor McGregor-Max Holloway Odds

Conor McGregor: +185

Max Holloway: -225

Over 2.5 rounds: -110

Under 2.5 rounds: -120

Why Conor McGregor Will Win

Last Fight: (L) Dustin Poirier – TKO (doctor stoppage, R1)
Last 5: 2-3
Finishes: 19 KO/TKO, 1 SUB

This return has been five years in the making for Conor McGregor and after all the intensive rehab, time to build his body, and getting in fighting shape, he'll finally have a chance to prove himself in competition once again as the UFC's most influential talent. His last two losses to Dustin Poirier were disappointing and he hasn't won a bout since 2020, so the biggest question is how he'll fare against a Max Holloway who's had eight fights (5W-3L) in the time since.

This fight camp brought an extremely focused McGregor, probably the most measured and even-keeled we've ever seen him heading into a fight. He has tremendous confidence having already beaten Holloway once and doesn't believe his opponent has improved much in the time since. McGregor has also reportedly been sleeping in the gym during training camp, building himself into a beast at 170 pounds where he requested this fight.

There a ton of unknown as McGregor has kept camp footage and training under wraps, but expect him to use his size and strength to move Holloway around the cage much like he did against Donald Cerrone. McGregor's reach will also serve great purpose as he'll constantly be gauging the distance with his right hand.

Why Max Holloway Will Win

Last Fight: (L) Charles Oliveira– U DEC
Last 5: 3-2
Finishes: 12 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Max Holloway is hardly the same fighter Conor McGregor met in 2013 and he's built a legendary career for himself in the time since. He's one of the most beloved fighters across his peers and fans alike, always guaranteeing and exciting bout that's sure to bring fireworks. Holloway is taking McGregor seriously ahead of this bout and expects a similar war to his battle against Justin Gaethje for the BMF belt. Nevertheless, Holloway finally sees his "red panty night" as a win could call for a trilogy in the making.

Holloway has been extremely active since McGregor's last appearance which gives him a massive edge in this fight. While this may be his debut at 170 pounds, the reports are that Holloway looks massive ahead of the fight, only adding to his already long 5-foot-11 frame. His power should see a stern increase as it'll be fun to watch the power behind his striking.

Furthermore, Holloway's speed and savvy in the pocket should frustrate McGregor all night. As long as he's able to remain moving and cutting McGregor's forward pressure, he should be able to extend this fight to the later rounds. Holloway's cardio will hold up any day over McGregors, nevermind the five-year layoff heading straight into a Main Event.

Final Conor McGregor-Max Holloway 2 Prediction & Pick

This fight has trilogy written all over it as Conor McGregor is seemingly serious about once again arriving on the UFC's biggest stage. Anything is possible for Mystic Mac, but there's no denying that it's truly hard to imagine what he'll look like come Saturday. His injury was extremely serious and while some fighters have never looked the same, we can't put anything past the UFC's biggest name.

Still, the activity of Max Holloway is undeniable and people are underestimating how physically imposing he may be at 170 pounds. I expect his punches to have some serious pop behind them and he should have the clear speed advantage if he's able to keep McGregor circling around the octagon.

While anything is possible for Conor McGregor, the smart pick here is to roll with Max Holloway to win this fight. The safer play is the over as we should see both sides putting on a show and digging deep in the later rounds. Most of all, we'll be enjoying the spectacle of McGregor's long-awaited return.

Final Conor McGregor-Max Holloway Prediction & Pick: Max Holloway (-225); OVER 2.5 Rounds (-110)

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