Can fantasy managers trust Bo Nix against the Jaguars?
Yahoo Fantasy's Matt Harmon and Ray Garvin discuss if fantasy managers can trust Bo Nix ahead of his week 16 matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Hear the full conversation on the "Yahoo Fantasy Forecast" podcast - and subscribe on Apple Podcasts , Spotify or wherever you listen.
Video Transcript
Weeks 1 to 14 against zone coverage, Bo Nix averaged 6.1 adjusted yards per attempt.
44% success rate.
In Week 15, 12.7 adjusted yards per attempt.
More than double, and then a 57.6% success rate.
And why I think this matters is, One, because of the matchup this week.
This is quietly another.
Unstoppable force versus immovable object, type of matchup here.
Uh, its not quite as well known as the Denver Broncos defense, But Jacksonville's played good defense as well.
Specifically, they play zone coverage at the 4th highest rate according to fantasy points data, and they have the 3rd lowest points per Dropback allowed.
I didn't think, you know, obviously, we're all hyped up about what Liam Cohen's doing now Offense, but I think what Anthony Campanelli, the defensive coordinator in Jacksonville, has Done, it's kind of a completely unknown hire for them that has been really undersold.
I think the defense plays really well.
They fly to the football.
They close windows against zone coverage pretty quickly.
So it'll be really interesting to track Bo Nix, who I think had, Uh, you can't call it a breakout game because he's an established starting quarterback.
But really a game where he did some things in terms of throwing into tight windows Zone coverage over the middle of the field on these in-breaking routes you don't always See him pull the trigger on those plays.
He was doing it against a great Packers defense last week.
And now he's got another matchup here against a solid stop unit.
A good secondary that plays a lot of zone coverage in Jacksonville.
Even when stuff is bad.
They're going to keep throwing the ball.
He's their guy.
Sean Payton has full trust in Bo Nix.
You know how sometimes you see the offensive coordinator just reel it all the way back in, They're like they don't even want him to throw the football.
Right?
There's no trust there.
Like they're gonna keep gunning it with Bo Nix, and then, when in doubt, He can scramble and pick up yards with his legs.
This is a tough matchup.
You said quietly, "I've been tracking Jacksonville's defense."
This is a difficult opponent.
This is a difficult defensive match-up.
Both of these teams, you look at them since Week 10.
They're like back-to-back, 3 and 4 down the board, defensively.
Very, very solid defensive units.
I, I, I, the same thing we've said about Trevor Lawrence, the same thing we said about T. Law.
Especially the way he's played over the last month, plus the season.
In this matchup, we can say the same thing about Bo Nix.
We can, cause this Jacksonville defense is legit.
I think both of these quarterbacks, uh, wouldn't shock me, Matt, if at the end of the day on Sunday, we were like, God, both of those dudes stunk.
Bo Nix and Trevor Lawrence were just the defenses, yeah.
Thats like, thats it.
They were both bad for you.
And then we can also see both of them just go, off because theyre, They have been playing that good, and I, I, I think Bo Nix, He's right there in play as well, with Lawrence for me this week.
I know its tough, but you know Im, Im riding with the guys who got me here.
Bo Nix is a monster.
