Top player props for Rams-Seahawks
Yahoo Fantasy's Matt Harmon and Joel Smyth run through some priority props for the NFC Championship including a pair of under for the Rams rushing attack. Check out the full conversation on the “Yahoo Fantasy Forecast” podcast - and subscribe on Apple Podcasts , Spotify or wherever you listen.
Video Transcript
With Blake Corum, actually an under 10 and a half on his longest run.
We talked about how that split last week.
I like that... Was kinda non-existent.
22% of his carries last week, and then 40% basically since that week five mark.
So, he was almost 50/50, and then barely touched the ball last week.
We talked about how good this Seattle run D is.
He's missed this in four of Both of the game versus Seattle, he missed this.
So it's one of those where it's like, I don't know how many carries he's gonna have in this game.
Does he break one for over 10 yards out of his seven carries?
Six carries, whatever it is?
I don't have too much faith there.
Yeah.
Adams, in that same offense, I do think they rely on Stafford a lot in this game, kinda like we saw last time.
I know that one went into overtime, but it was without Davante Adams.
I think a lot of the focus is going to be on Puka Nacua.
He still played a lot and getting the target share.
Production hasn't been there, and like you said, like, maybe they're trying to force him the ball.
But he didn't really have a big target share.
During the season, actually.
I know we kinda think about Davante Adams as, like that 30% target share guy.
In the season, It was 19%.
In the playoffs so far, it's been at 23%.
He had eight targets for famously one yard against Seattle last time.
I think he bounces back a little bit in this one, with Stafford has that huge game in the second time.
A third matchup for this game.
You see how Sean McVay...
I think he'll get creative here.
Lots of film on this team from the first two times they played.
So I have faith in Adams at a low number of 49 and a half receiving yards.
And then the last one, Sam Darnold.
This is more so of a, I think the volume is gonna be there.
I'm not as confident in this one anymore.
Because of what you said.
I'm kinda starting to backtrack a little, but maybe if those offensive line, the health there, hopefully that is there.
So maybe more of an injury-dependent one.
But he's played the Rams twice this year.
He had 279 passing yards and 270 passing yards, but the key is he had 44 passing attempts in that overtime game and 34 attempts in the other.
One.
When they're in these closer matchups, he's averaging 32 attempts per game.
When it's not close, they're winning or losing by a touchdown or more, 24 per game.
So the volume just isn't really there in a lot of these big blowouts and just how this offense is, is designed, but he's still second in yards per attempt to Drake May this year.
And two of his top three games in terms of passing attempts are against this Rams team.
So I think he's still set up for a really big volume day.
And if you give Sam Darnold volume, I think he'll get over 237.
Like, that's still a pretty low number, and we talked about- Yeah...
This passing defense for the Rams not being like the greatest in the world.
My three props here for this week, I'm going over on 28 and a half receiving yards for Cooper Kupp, minus 118.
I would love to take the catches.
But it's over 2 1/2 at minus 145.
I mean, Come on, what's the point?
I'm not, I'm not gonna tell you guys.
Of those, minus 145.
Give me a break!
Uh, but Cooper Kupp, over 28.5 receiving yards here.
I do think he can have a nice game against a very zone coverage-heavy team.
I think it's telling that they relied on him in a big game last week.
I think we'll see a good bit of Cooper Kupp.
He has a nice outing here for that one.
I'm going under on Kyren Williams, 54 and a half rushing yards here.
I think the Seahawks' run defense is just... As awesome as the Rams' ground game is, I think the Seahawks' run game is better, particularly on the interior.
And then just kind of on the same line as you here in terms of a lot of passing volume.
I think Stafford over 35 and a half pass attempts on this one.
If they're not gonna run the ball a ton, I think they'll try to get the ball out quick.
Take a few shots, but I think it might be more of like a move the ball.
Matriculate it, steady, efficient type of approach here for the Rams in the passing game.
