2026 Group of Six Playoff Scenarios: Boise State, JMU, Oregon State & More
Who gets the Group of Six spot in the 2026 College Football Playoff? Boise State, Oregon State, James Madison, New Mexico and UTSA are all fighting for a place in the CFP — and the race could come down to a few massive November games. We break down the Group of Six playoff scenarios, including Boise State vs. Oregon State, James Madison's chances after its App State loss, New Mexico's surprising run under Jason Eck, and UTSA's path through the American Conference. Can JMU finish 12-1 and still get left out? Does the Boise State–Oregon State winner become the playoff favorite? Could New Mexico's defense or a 12-1 UTSA team shake up the selection picture? Plus, we examine how conference championships, strength of schedule, quality losses and the remaining head-to-head matchups could shape the final CFP field. 🏈 **Try PFN's FREE College Football Playoff Predictor:** **CHAPTERS** 0:00 — Group of Six College Football Playoff Scenarios 0:24 — James Madison's 40.9% Playoff Probability 0:44 — How Boise State vs. Oregon State Impacts JMU 1:15 — Does James Madison Need Help to Make the CFP? 1:48 — JMU's Remaining Schedule and Sun Belt Title Path 2:18 — Boise State's College Football Playoff Chances 2:48 — How Oregon's Season Affects Boise State's Résumé 3:18 — Boise State vs. Oregon State: Massive CFP Showdown 3:53 — How the Group of Six Playoff Spot Is Decided 4:26 — New Mexico's Surprise CFP Push Under Jason Eck 5:03 — Can a 12-1 New Mexico Team Make the Playoff? 5:49 — New Mexico's Defense and Remaining Schedule 6:42 — Oregon State's Playoff Path and Boise State Matchup 7:14 — Could Jesse Legree Become a Heisman Finalist? 8:16 — Why the Pac-12 Winner Could Have the Edge 8:30 — UTSA's College Football Playoff Chances 9:14 — UTSA's Critical American Conference Games 9:48 — Which Group of Six Team Makes the CFP? Subscribe to Pro Football Network for more College Football Playoff predictions, rankings, conference championship scenarios, and college football analysis: **MORE FREE PFN TOOLS** NFL Playoff Predictor → NFL Mock Draft Simulator → #CollegeFootballPlayoff #BoiseStateFootball #CollegeFootball
