Guardians vs. Rays ALCS Game 6 Over/Under Pick: Why Bullpen Fatigue Points to the Over

Sean Zerillo makes the analytical case for betting Over 6.5 Total Runs (-110) in Game 6 of the ALCS between Cleveland and Tampa Bay. Zerillo details how seeing the same relievers three-plus times in a series drastically increases expected WOBA for hitters. With both bullpens heavily taxed, conditions are set for an offensive breakthrough despite playoff under trends.