Brazil vs. Norway 2026 World Cup prediction, odds, pick

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Brazil vs. Norway 2026 World Cup prediction, odds, pick

Dominik Zawartko, ClutchPoints · ClutchPoints

Fri, Jul 3, 2026 ·

5 min read

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The 2026 World Cup continues to roll as we present a prediction and pick for this upcoming Round of 16 tilt between tournament heavyweights. Brazil will take on Norway from MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. Check our World Cup odds series for the Brazil-Norway prediction and pick.

Brazil went 2-1-0 en route to winning Group C, carrying that momentum into the Round of 32 with a strong 2-1 win over Japan . Gabriel Martinelli shocked with a goal in the 96th-minute to avoid extra time, sending a strong Japan squad home in a stunner. Now, they'll face another dangerous opponent as the favorites to advance and fifth-best odds to make the tournament finals.

Norway advanced through Group I with a 2-0-1 record and surviving with France atop their standings as expected. They rebounded with a strong 2-1 win over Ivory Coast that saw their country's biggest star Erling Haaland net the deciding goal in the 86th-minute. They'll now look to knock off a tournament favorite as they try for their first-ever World Cup Quarterfinals berth.

World Cups Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Brazil vs. Norway Odds

Brazil: -220

Norway: +175

Over 2.5 Goals: -135

Under 2.5 Goals: +110

Brazil vs. Norway Key Injuries

Brazil:Midfielder Lucas Paqueta suffered a thigh injury in his squad's win over Japan, undergoing intensive treatment in the time since and remaining 'questionable' to play against Norway. Star forward Raphinha is also dealing with a thigh injury that has limited him to just two starts this tournament, recently being ruled OUT for this showdown against Norway. Lastly, Neymar continues to rehab his right calf as he's only appeared on pitch for 14 minutes during this World Cup.

Norway:Defender Julian Ryerson failed to return against Ivory Coast after sustaining an injury against Senegal during the group stage, likely putting his status at-risk for an appearance against Brazil. Aside from that, the Norway squad is mostly fit with not major injury developments.

Brazil vs. Norway Form & Trends

Brazil Last 5 Results: WWWDW
Norway Last 5 Results: WLWWD
Last Meeting: Brazil 1-1 Norway (16 August 2006)
Brazil World Cup goal differential: +7
Norway World Cup goal differential: +2
Brazil to reach Finals: +360
Norway to reach Finals: +1100

Keys to Brazil vs. Norway Matchup

The story around Brazil heading into the Round of 16 will once again be scattered injuries as star forward Raphinha was recently just ruled out ahead of this showdown. With Neymar still awaiting to officially make an impact in this tournament, the weight continues to be on Vinicius Jr.'s shoulders to will his squad through another knockout tilt. His four goals, along with three goals from Manchester United 's Matheus Cunha , have been carrying Brazil up to this point along with strong defensive efforts down the stretch.

Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti substituted (66′) Gabriel Martinelli who eventually knocked in a perfect rebounding header in the final seconds of stoppage time (90'+5). While stunned by an early goal from Japan's Kaishu Sano (29′), Brazil held firm in their control of the football and possessed for 69% of the minutes. Norway will offer a much more aggressive look with their own tendency to move the ball through the midfield. The potential loss of Julian Ryerson along the wing will limit their options as the Brazil defenders could look to key-in on Erling Haaland any time he touches the ball.

The success for Norway will obviously start with Haaland and his five goals this tournament. Four other players have contributed with a goal each with team captain Martin Ødegaard assisting on three goals and creating five shots. It will be interesting to see how Norway combats the swarming defense of the Brazilian side, but expect Haaland to work more as a creator early in this match.

Ultimately, this game should be decided by the open-field passing of Brazil and the work inside the box from Erling Haaland on Norway's side. The size difference between the two teams can't be discounted as Norway will sport players listed at 6-foot-4 (Heggem), 6-foot-5 (Haaland, Sørloth), and 6-foot-6 ( Ajer ). Watch for Norway to push set pieces from the corners as they stand to see the most success from there.

Brazil vs. Norway Prediction and Pick

This should be an interesting matchup given Norway's dominant play inside the box. Brazil will have to be very disciplined in the box and could benefit from cheating back against the physicality of Norway. Brazil will still have possession and passing on their side, but it's unclear how long they can continue to be successful scoring the ball without players like Raphinha and Neymar in the lineup.

Both defenses haven't player up to their standards during this tournament and Brazil has actually looked like the more stable side. Still, this game should open with a few goals early as the second half should be another frantic sprint to the finish.

For our final prediction, we'll roll with the favorites in Brazil to advance on a count f their ball movement and ability to break through the back line. Still, expect goals on both sides as we should see a high-scoring game.

Final Brazil-Norway Round of 16 Prediction & Pick: Brazil (-220); OVER 2.5 Goals (-135)

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