Will Garrett Wilson be a fantasy disappointment?
Yahoo Fantasy's Matt Harmon and Ray Garvin look at the wide range of outcomes for the Jets receiver with new QB Geno Smith. Check out the full conversation on the "Yahoo Fantasy Forecast" podcast - and subscribe on Apple Podcasts , Spotify or wherever you listen.
Video Transcript
How do you feel about Garrett Wilson this year in the Frank Reich offense with Geno Smith, Ray Garvin, at 51st overall?
I, I don't like how you added the Frank Reich, Geno Smith offense at the end, so I'm just gonna cover my ears.
Well- I know, I know.
Well, he won.
Matt, this is, if there were a poster child for I, I, I'll, I'm almost positive the very first Trinity video that I ever did back in '23, he was on the thumbnail.
It was, like, him and Chris Olave.
And I, I'm just gonna start with the positive, and I'm cherry-picking because I've only got six weeks of data to work with, okay?
Yeah.
But in those first six weeks, I mean, you're talking about a player who- I know he had his highest usage stretch of his career.
Ugh.
Full stop.
Air yard share, got it.
Target share, got it.
Route participation, had it.
You, you see him on the chart.
There, there, there are headshots of other elite wide receivers in that range.
I mean it, with Justin Fields, and he's no great quarterback at all, the usage is always there for Garrett Wilson.
It, it W- wasn't Garrett Wilson leading the league in, in routes run for like two years in a row?
We know he can play, but it's just the production, the production, the production is always disappointing.
We're talking about a player who I, I'd love to hit him, hit 15 points per game just one time.
Just get to 15- Garrett Wilson and, and I've got him projected right there.
His median range of outcome based on that small sample size, right?
You're looking at about 15.4 points per game with a high-end range if, if he were to continue what he has done historically, I mean, at ridiculous 18-point per game range.
Elephant in the room and the thing that I will address, and I really can't knock you, is Geno Smith is that quarterback.
Frank Reich offense, but I kinda sit back and say Geno might be one of the better QBs that he's had in some time right here.
And you look at the other pieces of the offense, Matt.
I know, I J- Matt, it's a low bar to clear.
Are you looking at everybody- yeah, yeah else on the Who's gonna take it?
Who else
