New England Patriots' Tough Schedule Impact on Wins
Donnie Rightside and Joe Raineri discuss the Patriots' tough schedule on the predictive markets, hinting they might win fewer than 10 games this season.
Video Transcript
That's with the New England Patriots, people.
Their forecast for wins on the Calci marketplace, nine plus, 10 plus, 11 wins.
Joe, they cruised last year, but apparently people looking for maybe not to be so successful this year as they actually play a decent schedule.
No.
Where do we go on the win totals here on the Calci marketplace?
Well, again, keeping in mind, you know, they forecasted, what, 9.7- Yeah I think, total wins here.
But keep in mind, you know, when you dive into these future markets like this and the prediction side, you know, you're always looking for value where you can, you'll have an opportunity to get out, make a profit, Donnie, because the market has got to reprice as the season moves along.
You know, the Patriots are sitting here, nine and a half wins.
I think y- you can even see 10 plus wins on their card here.
I mean, the, they're pricing them now like they're a real contender and not this cute sleeper team that had an easy schedule last year because the schedule, much more difficult, the noise, much more this year than in past year, travel mileage, totally different.
So I don't see a lot of value in expecting them to win 10 or 11 games.
I see the value in them not living up to the potential, and I see the under as to where the value is.
Yeah, it looks like nine plus wins, Joe, currently with a 57% chance to have that happen, but the yes contract there is actually at 66 cents, which means- Yeah $100 investment on the Patriots winning 10 pl- or nine plus games, I should say, gets back $152.
Let's take a look at the opening game that New England's gonna play against the Super Bowl champions from a game we just saw in the Super Bowl, New England versus Seattle.
Currently right now, Seattle, Joe, on Calci, just to win the game, 66% chance with a yes contract of 68 cents.
Always hard to go on the road, emotional atmosphere on opening night, all the way out in Seattle.
That's gonna let you know how dialed in those New England Patriots are.
And also, any off-field, off-season happenings could interfere with game number one.
We'll find out, but the heavy favorite right now are those Seattle Seahawks, Joe.
Well, here's the deal, Donnie.
The market we just talked about there regarding- Yeah New England and their win total, well, I tell you right now, if they win this one to open up the season, Donnie, that market's gonna reprice and adjust in a big way, right?
Same thing for Seattle.
I have- Yeah if I just need who's gonna win this game, I would much rather have Seattle here than anything else, traveling across country, 12th man, all of that good stuff there.
Yep.
Yeah.
I, but again, Seattle's market, I don't know what their win total is, Donnie, but it will likely have to reprice as well after this game.
So those two markets, I think, correlated, with game one, depending on which side you think is gonna win.
