Exploring Paul Skenes' Performance Dip and Game Odds
Discussion centers on Paul Skenes' surprising struggles and the Marlins' strong prospects in tonight's game. Joe Raineri and Tom Vecchio give their picks.
Video Transcript
Paul Skenes, he don't look right to me.
I don't know what it is, Tom.
I, the velocity dip, the, the control issues.
Could this be a game worth backing the home dog here tonight?
You gotta wonder why are the Pirates favored?
Is it just based on name recognition from Paul Skenes?
Because sure, the name recognition will get you there, but if this were the real Paul Skenes, would they be -110?
Would we be looking at -110 and +102?
I don't think so.
I think we'd be looking at m- maybe not massive favorites, like not -200 on the road for them, but we'd be looking at, like, a -130-ish price, I think, on the road for Paul Skenes if he truly was himself, and I'd be even more interested in taking the Marlins.
So I like the idea of backing the Marlins at home at plus money.
I know it's not a super big price, but, you know, you give me Paul Skenes an under on an outs prop and plus money on the Marlins money line, I think that's what we should be looking at.
Maybe he's a little bit better than he has been recently, but I don't think he goes super deep in the game, and I'll take the home dog that are desperate for a win right now.
Yeah, I, They are desperate for a win.
It would be nice and get it done.
I love Yuri Perez, but I'm telling you, that total too, Tom, sitting at seven.
They just put Stowers on the 10-day IL, I believe.
Yep.
They were worried about that with a hamstring pull.
Not great there, for Miami, who is still hoping, I guess, maybe, that they can get, some sort of run going here towards the postseason, and he was really their big home run threat.
And now without him, yikes.
It could be, over sooner rather than later, but should be a good one there, but seven feels a little light.
Although that bullpen, I think we can both agree, that Pittsburgh bullpen, better after the trade deadline, than they certainly- were prior.
So maybe runs w- I like Yuri.
Maybe runs will be very hard to come by here tonight.
They should be You know, Pirates made some decent moves at the trade deadline.
Not a high volume of moves, but the moves that I really think they needed to make.
I, I, I'm fading, I think I'm gonna be fading the Pirates from here on out.
You know, where they sit right now, they're six back i- in the wild card.
I think their season's, done just b- based on where they are, and I'll take the Marlins in this spot, plus money.
Maybe not too many runs, throughout the game.
I think the under If you can get seven and a half out there, I'd play it, you know, even if it was a little bit of juice at -130 or so.
Yeah, I agree.
I think, and I Every time I've backed, the first five, in the total situation with Paul Skenes, he ends up giving three runs up in, in the first or second inning, and I just can't figure it out with him, I really can't.
But, the good news is Miami, they got the right pitcher on the mound here.
We'll see if they can get it done here tonight.
That's gonna be your 6:40 game.
