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Japan's core inflation holds near BOJ's target

By Leika Kihara and Yoshifumi Takemoto

TOKYO, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Japan's core consumer inflation held steady near the central bank's 2% target in August, data ‌showed on Friday, highlighting mounting price pressures that solidify the case for ‌a near-term interest rate hike.

The data came hours before the Bank of Japan concludes its two-day meeting ​later on Friday, when it is widely expected to raise interest rates to a 31-year high of 1.25%.

The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile fresh food but includes fuel costs, rose 1.7% in August from a year earlier, data showed, compared with ‌a median market forecast for ⁠a 1.8% gain. It followed a 1.8% rise in July.

An index that strips away the effects of both volatile fresh food and ⁠fuel, which is closely watched by the BOJ as a better gauge of demand-driven price pressures, rose 1.9% in August from a year earlier.

Core inflation has stayed below the BOJ's ​2% ​target for eight straight months, as government subsidies ​aimed at curbing utility bills ‌offset price hikes for a broad range of goods.

But rising fuel costs from the Middle East conflict and higher import prices from a weak yen have added price pressure to the economy, prodding warnings from the BOJ of the risk of an inflation overshoot.

The BOJ raised interest rates to 1% in June on the view Japan ‌was on the cusp of durably hitting its ​2% inflation target. It kept rates steady in ​July but signalled a strong chance ​of a near-term hike on mounting price pressures.

Sources have told Reuters ‌the BOJ is set to raise ​interest rates this week ​and may signal faster future tightening if price pressures heighten the chance of underlying inflation deviating from its 2% target.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect the BOJ ​to hike rates to ‌1.25% on Friday, 1.5% by end-March next year and then to 1.75% ​in the second quarter of 2027.

(Reporting by Leika Kihara and Yoshifumi Takemoto; ​Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Sam Holmes)

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