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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Earnings Growth and $10 ...

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus .

Release Date: July 30, 2026

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

Positive Points

  • Xcel Energy Inc ( NASDAQ:XEL ) reported strong Q2 2026 earnings of $0.93 per share, up from $0.75 in Q2 2025, driven by higher electric revenues and AFUDC.

  • The company has line of sight to over $10 billion in incremental investment opportunities beyond its base five-year plan, including $6 billion from the SPS competitive RFP.

  • Xcel Energy Inc ( NASDAQ:XEL ) achieved regulatory settlements or outcomes in six active rate cases, keeping long-term bill growth at or below inflation and among the lowest in the country.

  • The company is a leading builder of high-voltage transmission lines and renewable generation, with 16 GW of new generation and over 2,000 miles of transmission built.

  • Xcel Energy Inc ( NASDAQ:XEL ) has addressed approximately 85% of its $7 billion five-year equity need, maintaining a strong balance sheet and credit metrics.

Negative Points

  • Higher interest expense decreased earnings by $0.12 per share in Q2 2026, reflecting the cost of funding infrastructure investments.

  • Common equity financing impacts reduced earnings by $0.06 per share, driven by the need to fund growth while maintaining balance sheet strength.

  • The company faces ongoing wildfire risks in Colorado, requiring significant investment in mitigation measures and potential legislative action.

  • Data center load growth, while promising, is largely treated as upside and not yet fully baked into the base plan, creating uncertainty in timing and execution.

  • Depreciation guidance was adjusted due to changes in nuclear depreciation in the Minnesota rate case, though it was earnings neutral.

Q & A Highlights

Here are the key highlights from the Xcel Energy Inc ( NASDAQ:XEL ) Q2 2026 earnings call, focusing on the most significant Q&A exchanges.

Q: With the $6 billion in new CapEx from the SPS competitive RFP, you now have line-of-sight to at least $13 billion in incremental investments. How does this impact your 9% EPS growth target through 2030? A: (Brian Van Abel, CFO) The $6 billion from SPS, combined with the $7 billion from Q1, gives us over $10 billion in line-of-sight. While some of this will flow into the early 2030s, we are excited about the execution. We previously guided to 9% EPS growth through 2030, and we have now updated that language to "9% plus." We will roll forward our full five-year plan in Q3, which will include a new capital plan, financing plan, and a '27 to '31 view.

Q: Can you discuss the timing of the upcoming NSP RFP for 4 gigawatts of generation and whether it will be included in your Q3 update? A: (Brian Van Abel, CFO) That RFP outcome is expected by the end of the fourth quarter. Depending on the exact timing, it may or may not make it into our Q3 plan update. We will provide clear visibility on its status when we make the recommendation filing to the commission.

Q: You have a goal to sign 1 gigawatt of data center load this year and an additional 3 gigawatts in 2027. What is the expected mix between large-scale campuses and smaller projects? A: (Bob Frenzel, CEO) Our high-probability pipeline exceeds 20 gigawatts. We see projects across the spectrum, from 10-20 megawatt urban data centers to 1,000-megawatt campuses. However, our customers, particularly hyperscalers, are largely aligned with larger campuses for scale benefits. We are well-equipped to handle that, but we also have more modest 200-300 megawatt projects in the portfolio.

Q: How should we think about the longevity of your double-digit rate base growth? Can it extend beyond the current five-year plan? A: (Bob Frenzel, CEO & Brian Van Abel, CFO) The incremental renewables in our pipeline will be in service by the end of 2030 to capture tax credits, so they fit within the five-year plan. However, the data center load we are signing now will need energy and ramp well into the 2030s. For every gigawatt of a data center, you are looking at $5-6 billion in generation and transmission investments. This creates a significant investment opportunity that extends well into the next decade.

Q: What is your view on new nuclear generation, given the interest from peers and hyperscalers? A: (Bob Frenzel, CEO) I am an unabashed fan of nuclear energy and believe the country needs a policy to support it. However, for Xcel Energy, we have amazing access to wind and solar resources. We do not see a need for new nuclear in our near-term resource plans and are confident in our ability to meet growing demand with wind, solar, storage, and gas backup. We will not be an early adopter of new nuclear power plants.

Q: You have achieved several regulatory settlements. What is your confidence level in getting final approvals from the commissions? A: (Brian Van Abel, CFO) Our regulatory teams have worked very hard with all parties to reach constructive settlements. There is a lot of give-and-take in these processes. We believe the settlements we have put forth are in the public interest, and we are hopeful that the commissions will see that and provide constructive decisions in the coming months.

Q: Can you provide an update on the Minnesota Google data center project and the environmental review process? A: (Brian Van Abel, CFO) We continue to work with stakeholders. There is strong community support for the project, which provides over $1 billion in customer benefits. We have filed the proceeding with the commission and expect the schedule to lead to approval early in 2027. We are excited to bring this project forward, which includes significant investments in STEM education and a distributed capacity program.

Q: With the growing interest in data centers in your SPS territory, how do you view the upcoming SPP ITP transmission plan? A: (Bob Frenzel, CEO & Brian Van Abel, CFO) We are a leading builder of new transmission and expect meaningful investment opportunities from the next ITP tranche. The SPS region is very attractive due to low C&I rates and strong renewable resources. We are seeing growing interest from data center developers there, in addition to significant growth from oil and gas customers in the Permian Basin. These longer-term transmission opportunities are not in our base plan and represent significant upside for the 2030s.

Q: Are you seeing any pushback on your large load tariffs, particularly regarding credit and collateral requirements? A: (Brian Van Abel, CFO) Our recently approved Minnesota tariff was crafted with input from hyperscalers and is constructive. Our filings in Wisconsin and the upcoming one in Texas are well-constructed with strong customer protections. We feel good about the provisions we have put forward, which in some cases are more strict than those of our peers.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

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