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AMC Entertainment to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

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AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.AMC is scheduled to release third-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 4, after the closing bell.
AMC has a modest earnings surprise history in the trailing four quarters. Its earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters and lagged twice, the average surprise being 321.7%. In the previous quarter, the company reported an earnings surprise of 1300%.

AMC Earnings Estimate Trend

For the third quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share (EPS) has improved to 11 cents from a loss of 1 cent over the past 30 days. The estimate suggests a turnaround from the adjusted loss of 21 cents per share reported in the year-ago quarter, reflecting a staggering 152.4% year-over-year improvement.

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Quote

The consensus mark for third-quarter revenues is pegged at $1.66 billion, indicating a rise of 27.5% from the year-ago quarter's reported figure.

Let us take a look at how things might have shaped up in the quarter to be reported.

Factors Likely to Shape AMC's Quarterly Results

AMC Entertainment's third-quarter performance is likely to have benefited from stronger box-office momentum, supported by a compelling film slate and improving moviegoing demand. The releases of The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day are expected to have boosted attendance and admissions revenues. Management highlighted the strong opening of The Odyssey and encouraging advance bookings for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for admissions revenues is pegged at $892 million, indicating a 24.8% increase year over year.

AMC's continued investments in premium moviegoing experiences are expected to have supported revenues. Its AMC Go Plan focuses on upgrading seating, expanding premium large-format (PLF) and extra-large-format (XLF) screens, and enhancing the overall theater experience. Management highlighted strong consumer demand for IMAX, Dolby Cinema and other premium offerings, which command higher ticket prices than traditional auditoriums. The company's expanding premium-screen footprint, along with the rollout of AMC Club Rocker seating, is likely to have supported average ticket prices and revenue per patron in the third quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for other theatre revenues is pegged at $160 million, indicating an increase from $133 million reported in the prior-year quarter.

Loyalty and subscription initiatives are also expected to have remained important growth drivers. AMC Stubs continues to support customer engagement, while the A-List subscription program has strengthened visit frequency, particularly among younger moviegoers. Management noted that A-List membership exceeded 1.1 million during the second quarter, with subscribers accounting for approximately 20% of U.S. attendance.

Food and beverage initiatives are likely to have contributed to third-quarter top-line growth. AMC continues to expand its concession offerings, movie-themed merchandise and collectible popcorn containers, providing opportunities to increase spending per patron. Management emphasized that merchandise innovation and premium product offerings have supported revenue growth beyond traditional ticket sales. These efforts, coupled with improving attendance, are expected to have benefited food and beverage revenues. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for food and beverage revenues is pegged at $554 million, suggesting a 22.6% increase year over year.

On the margin front, AMC's cost-control initiatives and theater portfolio optimization are expected to have supported profitability. The closure of underperforming locations, improved per-patron contribution and higher operating leverage are likely to have aided efficiency. However, film exhibition costs, inflationary pressures and theater enhancement investments may have partly offset these benefits. Management also cautioned that the substantial adjusted EBITDA margin improvement achieved in the second quarter may not be sustained consistently.

What Our Model Says About AMC Stock

Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for AMC this time around. The company does not have the right combination of the two key ingredients, a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold), to increase the odds of an earnings beat.

AMC's Earnings ESP:AMC has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

AMC's Zacks Rank:The company carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present.

Stocks Poised to Beat on Earnings

Here are some stocks from the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector that investors may consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat.

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.CNK currently has an Earnings ESP of +5.33% and a Zacks Rank of 1. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Cinemark's earnings for the to-be-reported quarter are expected to increase 135%. CNK reported better-than-expected earnings in the trailing three out of four quarters and missed once, the average miss being negative 11.4%.

American Public Education, Inc.APEI currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.56% and a Zacks Rank of 2.

APEI's earnings for the to-be-reported quarter are expected to decrease 13.3%. American Public Education reported better-than-expected earnings in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 150.9%.

Planet Fitness, Inc.PLNT currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.53% and a Zacks Rank of 3.

PLNT's earnings for the to-be-reported quarter are expected to remain flat. Planet Fitness reported better-than-expected earnings in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 9.3%.

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AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) : Free Stock Analysis Report

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Cinemark Holdings Inc (CNK) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) : Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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