Yahoo

Columbus AS (OCSE:COLUM) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Second Consecutive Quarter of ...

This article first appeared on GuruFocus .

Release Date: November 05, 2026

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

Positive Points

  • Revenue increased 6% in Q3 2026, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth.

  • Dynamics business unit returned to 8% growth, driven by strong performance in Norway and the US.

  • EBITDA margin improved to 10.3% in Q3 2026, reflecting strong growth and improved efficiency.

  • Cash flow from operations increased by 48 million Danish kroner, from 7 to 55 million, underscoring business soundness.

  • Data & AI business line continued strong growth of 27%, with continued investment.

  • Efficiency improved to 62% in Q3 2026 from 58% in Q3 2025.

  • New strategy Astra 29 sets ambitious targets: revenue of 2 billion Danish kroner and EBITDA of 300 million Danish kroner.

  • Recurring revenue ambition increased to approximately 20% of total revenue.

  • Strong customer retention with about 90% of revenue from existing customers.

  • Strategic partnerships with Microsoft and Infor remain strong and aligned with AI trends.

Negative Points

  • Organic growth outlook for 2026 narrowed to 2-3%, down from previous 0-5% range.

  • EBITDA margin outlook for 2026 reduced to approximately 6%, impacted by restructuring costs.

  • Digital Commerce business line continues to face headwinds, especially in Norwegian and Danish markets.

  • Denmark service revenue declined 9% quarter-over-quarter, remaining a challenge.

  • Sweden service revenue still down, though showing some improvement.

  • Restructuring in Q3 2026 affected over 80 employees and incurred costs of approximately 20 million Danish kroner.

  • M3 business line had flat development in Q3 2026, with weak months at the beginning of the quarter.

  • Commercial model change from time and material to fixed price and outcome-based models may pose execution risks.

  • AI implementation complexity and cost management for customers could slow adoption.

  • Market conditions remain tough, with tariff complications and interest rate fluctuations impacting performance.

Q & A Highlights

Columbus AS (OCSE:COLUM) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Second Consecutive Quarter of Growth and the Launch of Ambitious Astra 29 Strategy
OCSE:COLUM GF Value chart

Q: Regarding the new strategy, how much of the EBITDA improvement should come from the delivery model and AI efficiency versus carryover from the former "New Heights" strategy? A: CEO John Kroknussen explained that Columbus is carrying efficiency gains from the old strategy into the new one, noting the efficiency rate improved to 62% in Q3 2026 from 58% a year earlier, still suppressed by roughly 80 employees remaining on the restructuring list. He said the 2025 EBITDA number is a misleading starting point, and highlighted that the company is now delivering more revenue than last year with significantly fewer people, decoupling the traditional one-to-one relationship between consulting hours and revenue through IP-based, prepackaged and productized deliveries.

Q: On orchestration, do you feel limited by your partnerships, or are partners like Microsoft big enough to provide whatever you need to orchestrate for customers? A: CEO John Kroknussen said Columbus is not limited by the LLMs of its partners, but noted that a prior constraintstructured connection between AI platforms and traditional data repositoriesis now maturing rapidly as interfaces open up. He added that managing token consumption and AI-related costs is top of mind for customers, and Columbus aims to help them secure fair contractual terms, avoid lock-in effects and manage discount schemes with technology providers.

Q: Which revenue streams do you expect to phase out, and can you give examples of new revenue streams? A: CEO John Kroknussen pointed to the delivery compression chart, saying activities with the most compression will yield less value and lower revenuesuch as basic integration configuration work and comprehensive documentation packages, which are now heavily AI-assisted and reduced roughly tenfold. Growth areas include structured process optimization assisted by agentic capabilities and organizational change management (OCM), as customers still need to agree on operating setups, onboard employees and monitor benefits.

Q: Would Scales, a subsidiary of NNIT that is up for divestment, be of interest to Columbus, and could a sale trigger further market consolidation? A: CEO John Kroknussen declined to comment specifically on interest or probabilities, but noted that Scales operates almost solely in the Danish market, whereas Columbus has a much broader global presence. He acknowledged that Scales operates within one of the same areas as Columbus but said there is no one-to-one comparison between the two companies.

Q: What are the key financial highlights from Q3 2026? A: CEO John Kroknussen reported a 6% increase in revenue, the second consecutive quarter of growth, with the largest business unit, Dynamics, returning to 8% growth driven by strong performance in Norway and the US. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 10.3%, efficiency improved to 62% from 58% a year earlier, and cash flow from operations rose by DKK 48 million to DKK 55 million, reflecting sound working capital management and tighter customer payment terms.

Q: What is the updated financial outlook for the full year? A: CFO Brian Ewersen said the outlook, adjusted on October 22, narrowed organic growth to 2%3% from 0%5%, with the company back in growth as seen in Q3. The EBITDA margin outlook was revised to approximately 6% from the previous 8%10%, largely due to restructuring costs that impacted the year by more than one percentage point, though management is confident the exercise will improve the company going forward.

Q: What are the targets and key pillars of the new Astra 29 strategy? A: CEO John Kroknussen said Astra 29 aims for DKK 2 billion in revenue, up from DKK 1.6 billion in 2025, and EBITDA of DKK 300 million, up from DKK 113 million in 2025, with recurring revenue targeted at approximately 20%. The strategy rests on three pillars: modernizing and driving efficiency across the existing service portfolio; starting from a business process perspective to identify automation potential across multiple platforms; and expanding into production-proximity systems such as warehouse, transport and manufacturing execution systems, with warehouse management expected to take off first in 2027.

Q: How is the commercial model changing under the new strategy? A: CEO John Kroknussen said Columbus is repricing and changing commercial terms so efficiency gains are shared appropriately between the company and customers, rather than fully passed on under time-and-material models. The shift involves more phases done on fixed price, augmented delivery models and some experimentation with outcome-based delivery models, while monitoring market standards, especially in the US, which tends to indicate where terms and conditions change first.

Q: How did the individual business lines perform in Q3 2026? A: CFO Brian Ewersen said Dynamics grew 8%, M3 was flat but ended the quarter well, Digital Commerce continued to face headwinds in Norway and Denmark, and Data & AI grew 27% with continued heavy investment. The overall contribution margin improved to 21% from 19%, or close to 26% adjusted for restructuring provisions, with Dynamics' bottom-line margin rising from 20% to 27%, while M3 was down roughly 7% but on par with last year when adjusted for redundancies.

Q: How did performance vary by country in Q3 2026? A: CFO Brian Ewersen said Sweden remains down but is improving, with M3 showing strong momentum and some big wins, while Denmark remains challenging and was down 9% quarter-over-quarter. The UK continued its growth pattern at a more modest pace with continued investment in AI and Data & AI, Norway jumped up again on large Dynamics 365 wins, and the US returned to growth with a slight shift from M3 to Dynamics, giving it two strong legs.

Q: What is the rationale behind the Astra 29 name and the strategic direction? A: CEO John Kroknussen said "Astra" refers to a star, symbolizing readiness to explore as the market develops new revenue drivers while some old ones diminish. He described the outgoing New Heights strategy as successful in building the operating model and customer segment focus despite tougher external conditions such as tariffs and interest rates, and said Astra 29 builds on that foundation to position Columbus as an agentic operating partner for customers, going beyond ERP systems.

Q: What is the market opportunity driving the strategy, particularly around AI adoption? A: CEO John Kroknussen noted that IT spend

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

Mobilize your Website
View Site in Mobile | Classic
Share by: