This article first appeared on GuruFocus .
Release Date: August 31, 2026
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .
Positive Points
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Group volume grew 16% year-on-year to 318 million parcels, with revenue up 18% to 4.2 billion Polish Zloty, outpacing volume growth.
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International markets now account for 54% of group revenue, with Eurozone volumes up 30% and APM volumes up 45% year-on-year.
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Record APM deployment of 15,600 new machines in the last 12 months, crossing 100,000 out-of-home points and 70,000 APMs globally.
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Poland maintains strong consumer engagement with 96% of consumers using InPost lockers for receiving parcels and an NPS of 76, well ahead of competitors.
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UK transformation is progressing, with adjusted EBITDA improving from a loss of 49 million Polish Zloty in Q1 to a positive 29 million in Q2, and B2C volumes up 27%.
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FedEx partnership is set to launch last-mile services in the UK and Poland in September, opening new growth opportunities.
Negative Points
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Group adjusted EBITDA growth slowed to 4.4% in Q2, with margin declining to 25% due to segment mix and investment in new services.
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Adjusted EBIT declined 19.3% and adjusted net profit fell 50% in Q2, impacted by higher depreciation and unfavorable FX.
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UK adjusted EBITDA margin dropped to 2.8% from 5.1% a year ago, reflecting restructuring costs and lower revenue per parcel.
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Group free cash flow turned negative at -541 million Polish Zloty in H1 2026, versus a positive 54 million a year ago, due to heavy international investment.
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Net leverage rose to 2.5 times from 2.1 times a year ago, with net debt increasing to 10.1 billion Polish Zloty.
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Full-year 2026 outlook revised down: adjusted EBITDA is now expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage, and Q3 volume growth is expected to be low single-digit due to EU customs fee changes impacting Chinese volumes.
Q & A Highlights
Q: The EU's abolishment of the de minimis rule has reportedly caused Chinese volumes to drop 30-40%. Do you recognize this figure in your markets, and how does it impact the mix of your business in Poland, given that Chinese parcels typically generate lower margins and are delivered to door rather than APMs? A: Michael Rouse (CEO International) confirmed that while the company does not concentrate heavily on Chinese business, the impact is consistent with what they have seen in certain markets. He noted that in some markets, this has actually been beneficial from a margin perspective due to a strong recovery in local e-commerce. He also clarified that the UK business has seen no impact at all. Javier van Engelen (CFO) added that the volume outlook revision is purely driven by the Chinese impact, accounting for about 2-3% of the revision, and that the company has initiatives in place to compensate for the volume loss.
Q: How much of the H1 international working capital outflow is temporary and reversible in H2 versus structural cash consumption from integrating or scaling Yodel and the international network? A: Javier van Engelen (CFO) stated that the negative free cash flow for the first half is roughly half and half. Half is clearly investment into network innovation to stay ahead of the market, following their strategy for APM and out-of-home usage. The other half is temporary, including a temporary impact from receivables and payables linked to tax payments in Poland and some longer receivables in France, which they expect to be recovered in the second half of the year.
Q: Regarding the mix of to-door and APMs in Poland, will the abolishment of the de minimis rule change this mix? A: Javier van Engelen (CFO) explained that the impact depends on where the volume goes. Since B2C penetration in Poland is very strong, the mix will likely shift to other platforms and some B2C. He noted that to-door is an area where they have been filling the gap on volume, and they will continue pushing some volume through deeper to-door penetration. While there will be some impact on pricing, the mix effect with to-door will be seen in Q3. Rafael Droska (CEO) added that InPost is becoming a first-choice vendor for door-to-door services, not only for e-commerce parcels but also for B2B parcels, due to their extraordinary quality, and they are taking over a lot of this business from international players.
Q: Can you provide more detail on the revised full-year 2026 outlook, particularly regarding volume growth, adjusted EBITDA, and CapEx? A: Javier van Engelen (CFO) outlined the revised outlook: group volume growth is expected in the mid-teens, with Poland at mid-single-digit growth, Eurozone at high 20s, and UK at low 30s. Group revenue is expected to grow in the mid-teens. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage, with margins around the mid-20s. The company plans to deploy around 19,000 new APMs (3,000 in Poland, 11,000 in the Eurozone, and 5,000 in the UK), with CapEx of around 2.1 billion Polish Zloty. They expect negative free cash flow at year-end and an increased net leverage ratio.
Q: What is the expected impact of the EU customs fee changes on Q3 2026 volume growth? A: Javier van Engelen (CFO) stated that for Q3 2026, the group anticipates year-on-year volume growth in the low single-digit percentage range. Poland is expected to have flat volume dynamics, mainly reflecting the impact of changes to EU customs fees on international marketplace volumes. Internationally, they forecast mid-single-digit year-on-year growth, also tempered by the EU customs fee changes in the Eurozone. The UK is comparing to a high base from the prior year.
Q: Can you elaborate on the UK business transformation and its path to profitability? A: Michael Rouse (CEO International) noted that UK volumes grew 16% to 82 million parcels, with B2C now representing 61% of the mix, up 27%. APM and returns volumes were up 29% year-over-year. An important milestone was the rebranding of Yodel to Inpost on July 26, bringing UK operations under a single brand. Customer sentiment is improving, with a Trustpilot score of 4.9 out of 5 and 8 million mobile app downloads. Javier van Engelen (CFO) added that UK adjusted EBITDA came in at 29 million Polish Zloty, with margin down from 5.1% to 2.8% due to restructuring efforts, but improved meaningfully versus Q1's loss of 49 million Polish Zloty, showing the transformation is progressing.
Q: What is driving the strong performance in the Eurozone segment, and how sustainable is this growth? A: Michael Rouse (CEO International) reported that Eurozone volume grew 30% to over 100 million parcels, outpacing the underlying e-commerce market which grew around 9%. B2C volumes were up 30%, and APM volumes were up 45% year-on-year. The APM out-of-home flow rate reached 47%, up from 40% a year ago. The Mondial Relay network grew 13% to nearly 46,000 locations, with APMs growing over 52%. Mobile app downloads reached 10 million, nearly doubling year-on-year. Javier van Engelen (CFO) added that Eurozone adjusted EBITDA increased by 40% to 203 million Polish Zloty, with margin essentially flat at 16.6%, as scale benefits and disciplined SG&A management were partially offset by the dilutive impact of growing to-door services.
Q: Can you provide details on the FedEx commercial agreement and its expected impact? A: Javier van Engelen (CFO) confirmed that, as previously announced, FedEx and InPost have been negotiating an arm's length commercial agreement. In September, InPost plans to launch last-mile services for FedEx in the UK and Poland as part of an initial pilot phase pursuant to this agreement. This represents a significant strategic partnership that could expand InPost's B2B and door-to-door capabilities.
Q: How is the company's network expansion progressing, and what is the current scale? A: Rafael Droska (CEO) reported that at the end of Q2, the company operated over 98,000 out
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .
