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JetBlue Airways Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Higher Fuel Costs

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JetBlue Airways CorporationJBLU reported an adjusted loss of 60 cents per share for the third quarter of 2026, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 55 cents. The result marked a negative earnings surprise of 9.1%, while the adjusted loss widened from 40 cents a year ago.

Operating revenues of $2.81 billion missed the consensus estimate of $2.83 billion by 0.6%, despite rising 21.1% year over year. Strong pricing and demand lifted revenue per available seat mile, or RASM, 18.4%, but higher fuel costs weighed on profitability.

JetBlue Airways Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

JetBlue Airways Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
JetBlue Airways Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

JetBlue Airways Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | JetBlue Airways Corporation Quote

JBLU's Traffic and Pricing Metrics Improve

Passenger revenues increased 21.8% year over year to $2.60 billion, while other revenues climbed 13.4% to $212 million. Revenue passengers rose 2.2% to 10.61 million, and revenue passenger miles advanced 0.5% to 14.44 billion.

Capacity, measured in available seat miles, increased 2.3%. The load factor (% of seats filled by passengers) declined 1.5 percentage points to 83.6%, while the average fare rose 19.2% to $245.11. Yield per passenger mile increased 21.2% to 18.01 cents.

JetBlue's Costs Rise on Fuel and Operational Pressure

Total operating expenses increased 22.1% year over year to $2.96 billion. Aircraft fuel expense surged 61% to $868 million, as the average fuel cost per gallon climbed 57% to $3.91. Salaries, wages and benefits rose 9.4% to $946 million.

Operating expense per available seat mile increased 19.4% to 17.12 cents.

JBLU posted an operating loss of $144 million compared with $100 million a year ago. The adjusted operating margin improved 0.2 percentage points to negative 3.9%.

JBLU Maintains Liquidity Amid Heavy Obligations

Cash and cash equivalents totaled $1.26 billion at Sept. 30, 2026, down from $1.95 billion at Dec. 31, 2025. Investment securities stood at $368 million. Total debt and finance lease obligations were $8.39 billion, while stockholders' equity declined to $1.34 billion from $2.12 billion.

JetBlue ended the third quarter with approximately $2.2 billion in liquidity, including a $600 million undrawn revolving credit facility. Third-quarter capital expenditures totaled $189 million, while an additional $250 million in aircraft-backed financing is expected during the fourth quarter.

JetBlue Raises Revenue Outlook but Faces Fuel Headwinds

For the fourth quarter of 2026, JBLU expects capacity growth of 3-4% and RASM growth of 18-22%. CASM, excluding fuel, is projected to range between a 1% decline and a 1% increase, while the fuel price per gallon is estimated at $4.64.

For 2026, capacity is expected to rise 1.5-2.5%, with RASM growth of 13.5-14.5% and CASM ex-fuel growth of 3.5-4.5%. The adjusted operating margin is projected between negative 4.5% and 6.5%. Interest expense is estimated at approximately $590 million, with capital expenditures of roughly $850 million.

JBLU Targets Profitability Through JetForward

JetForward remains on track to generate at least $310 million in incremental earnings before interest and taxes in 2026. Management expects annual incremental benefits of $850-$950 million by 2027, rising to approximately $1.2 billion in 2028.

JetBlue continues to target positive operating profitability in 2027 and earnings of at least $1 per share in 2028. The latter target assumes continued demand strength and average jet fuel prices of $3 per gallon. Management also expects positive free cash flow by 2028, supported by margin expansion and annual capital expenditures below $1 billion.

Currently, JBLU has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Q3 Performance of Other Transportation Companies

Alaska Air Group, Inc.ALK reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share, excluding certain tax impacts, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 35 cents by 2.9%. The company had reported adjusted earnings of $1.05 per share a year earlier. Higher fuel expenses weighed on profitability despite strong revenue momentum.

Operating revenues increased 14.4% year over year to $4.30 billion but missed the consensus mark of $4.31 billion marginally by 0.1%.

Wabtec CorporationWAB reported mixed third-quarter 2026 results, wherein earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but revenues missed the same.

Quarterly earnings (excluding 41 cents from non-recurring items) of $2.83 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.72 by 4.04% and increased 22% year over year. Revenues climbed 8.1% year over year to $3.12 billion but missed the consensus mark of $3.18 billion by 2%. The 12-month backlog increased 8.8% to $8.99 billion.

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JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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