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Securitas (OM:SECU B) Could Be 4% Below Fair Value Following Its October Report Setup

Securitas (OM:SECU B) heads into its July to September 2026 interim report on 23 October with fresh attention on the stock, as investors weigh recent share gains and upcoming commentary.

Recent trading has been constructive for Securitas, with a 1-day share price return of 1.06%, a 7-day move of 3.77% and a 30-day gain of 6.50% taking the stock to SEK162.2 ahead of the October 23 report. A 1-year total shareholder return of 19.53% and a 3-year total shareholder return of 95.25% point to momentum that has built over time rather than faded.

Surf 615 high quality undiscovered gems that, like Securitas, pair established business models with financial profiles that many investors may not yet be fully focused on.

After that run, the share price now sits close to analyst targets, while the modelled intrinsic value implies a far larger gap. Which reference point does Securitas actually lean toward on valuation?

Most Popular Narrative: 4% Undervalued

Securitas is currently trading at SEK162.2 against a widely followed fair value estimate of SEK168.21, which frames the debate around how much of its margin and cash flow story is already reflected in the price.

The company's European transformation and business optimization programs, together with 22 consecutive quarters of adjusted operating margin improvement to 7.6% in Q2 2026 and recurring monthly revenue now above SEK 1b, are expected to keep adding operating leverage that can support earnings growth and net margin over time.

See why 28 investors see Securitas as 4% undervalued .

Result: Fair Value of SEK168.21 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the whole Securitas narrative could be shaken if technology-led services stall or if further contract exits drag on revenue and margins.

Find out about the key risks to this Securitas narrative .

Next Steps

Sentiment on Securitas may look balanced between promise and pressure, yet the real signal comes from your own review of the numbers and context. Move quickly through both sides of the story by weighing its 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include SECU-B.ST .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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