Securitas has delivered a strong share price run in recent years, which puts fresh attention on whether the current valuation is properly grounded in its earnings power. With the stock changing hands at around SEK 162.2, the key issue for you is how much profit the business is actually generating to support that price.
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Over the past 3 years the share price has returned 95.3%, which puts real weight on the question of whether the earnings profile can shoulder that kind of rerating.
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The business model relies heavily on converting recurring security service contracts into steady profit and cash flow, so the durability of margins and the quality of earnings may matter more for valuation than headline revenue growth alone.
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The analysts covering Securitas have run their own numbers. See what analysts think Securitas's shares could be worth .
The stock's next move may depend on whether Securitas' current earnings are strong and reliable enough to justify where the share price sits today.
If you want to test the same earnings question beyond Securitas, compare it with a curated group of companies using the 188 high quality undervalued stocks
Is Securitas a Bargain on Earnings?
The P/E ratio is a clean way to gauge what you are paying for each krona of profit at a service heavy group like Securitas. On this measure, the stock trades on about 16.6x earnings, which is slightly above the Commercial Services sector average of roughly 15.8x. That indicates the market is already putting a modest premium on the security provider compared with the broader industry.
Against closer peers, the picture looks a bit different. The peer group trades nearer 19.0x, while the modelled fair P/E for Securitas, which blends its growth profile, profitability, size and risk, comes in higher than where the shares trade today. The current multiple therefore suggests the stock may be undervalued on this framework, with investors paying less per unit of earnings than the model indicates could be justified. Explore the numbers behind Securitas's P/E valuation .
The Securitas Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?
Securitas' current P/E raises a simple question that Narratives on Simply Wall St's Community page try to answer in a structured way. Each scenario lays out what would need to happen to future growth, margins and earnings for the stock to be worth meaningfully more or less than today. Each one also ties a fair value estimate to a specific mix of potential catalysts and risks so you can track over time which storyline seems to be unfolding in reality.
Community views on Securitas split between those who see steady mix improvement and those who focus on contract and execution risk.
Bull case: roughly fairly valued
"The company's European transformation and business optimization programs, together with 22 consecutive quarters of adjusted operating margin improvement to 7.6% in Q2 2026..."
Discover why this Narrative puts Securitas at roughly fairly valued .
Bear case: 27% overvalued
"The loss of a very large temporary contract in this area at the end of 2025 exposes how concentrated and fragile parts of this franchise can be..."
Explore why this Narrative puts Securitas at 27% overvalued .
Securitas valuation is only half the story
Price multiples show what the market is paying today, but the analyst models chart where they expect Securitas to be a few years from now. This can sharpen how you view the current earnings multiple. Explore where analysts expect Securitas to be in a few years .
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include SECU-B.ST .
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