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HIVE chairman bets on market math to drive record results

The financial results for HIVE Digital Technologies (Nasdaq: HIVE)  are painting a picture of a company in a state of rapid evolution. For the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended December 31, 2025, the firm saw its revenue soar to $93.1 million, a massive climb from the $29.2 million reported during the same window last year.

While the top-line growth was undeniable, the company reported a GAAP net loss of $91.3 million. However, the leadership team was quick to point out that this was primarily a result of non-cash accounting moves. Specifically, $57.4 million came from "accelerated depreciation" related to their expansion in Paraguay and various non-cash revaluation adjustments. 

In simpler terms: the loss exists on the balance sheet due to accounting rules, even as the company's operational engine grows stronger.

Related: HIVE chairman Frank Holmes says U.S. bitcoin reserve could trigger 'exponential' shift

The math of the market

Executive Chairman Frank Holmes broke down the company's recent journey and its current standing in the market.

"We had a big run because we went from 6 exahash (EH/s) to 25 exahash, and the world loved it," Holmes explained. 

"And we are going through this rerating until the Binance faulty bot they have, blew up their system. And then we fell. And we had a rally, and we are down once again over one standard deviation. And I think that we are an attractive buy from based on just the math of markets."

Despite the volatility common in the crypto world, HIVE's efficiency is climbing. The company's gross operating margin rose to 35%, nearly doubling last year's 18%. In the third quarter alone, HIVE produced 885 Bitcoin equivalents, representing 23% growth over the previous quarter—even though the network difficulty (how hard it is to mine) increased by 15%.

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A conservative playbook in a risky industry

One of the standout themes of the call was HIVE's refusal to bury itself in debt to chase growth. Holmes emphasized that being "conservative" is a core part of their survival and success.

"Something else that is really important, we have never leveraged our balance sheet with incredible debt to go buy Bitcoin, or to go and do, contracts with for high performance computing. We have not done that," Holmes stated. 

"Because we are conservative, because we know the volatility. We know that building out tier three data centers is fraught with construction difficulty. You have to be very pragmatic and thoughtful."

Related: Inflation data sends markets reeling

Moving beyond "AI fairy tales"

HIVE is diversifying its business by leaning into High-Performance Computing (HPC) and GPU clouds. The company is aiming for $225 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) from this sector by year-end.

Holmes was clear that this isn't just following a trend. "HIVE is not chasing AI fairy tales. It is building towards a $140,000,000 annualized GPU cloud revenue from measured steps. Today's $30,000,000 two-year contract secures the initial 504 GPU managed to over rollout," he noted.

He further explained how HIVE's approach differs from competitors who rely on long-term "hyperscaler" contracts. 

"Our strategy is just different than other people that are going out, getting a hyperscaler, giving you about a $0.14 look at the math of this, a ten-year contract, a fifteen-year contract, but we are trying to get as much of the upside besides a tier HPC, colocation that we know we have been able to build with high margin that people around the world."

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Global footprint and future vision

The company's physical expansion is just as ambitious as its digital one. HIVE has completed a 440 MW facility in Paraguay and recently purchased an additional 63 hectares of land there. With 10,000 customers already using their chips across 80 countries, the vision for the future is focused on high-value computing.

"What we are seeing now is that once this is built, this will be solved,"Holmes said. 

"I mean, we will sell the asset, but the demand for our GPU chips at much higher prices than where Bitcoin revenue is per hour will be done. So we feel very excited about it and straightforward of how our vision it is just different than other people. And that is where we are staying focused."

By balancing aggressive infrastructure growth with a debt-free balance sheet, HIVE is positioning itself to weather market storms while capturing the high margins of the computing world. The company continues to stack its physical assets, utilizing its 25 EH/s capacity and newly acquired land in Paraguay to prepare for the next phase of its digital evolution.

Related: Jack Dorsey slashes 40% of Block staff despite rising profits

This story was originally published by TheStreet on Feb 27, 2026, where it first appeared in the Innovation section. Add TheStreet as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

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