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Black Hills Corp. previously announced it had signed long-term agreements running through 2048 to supply up to 590 MW of energy and manage a 2.7 GW resource mix for Google's planned Cheyenne, Wyoming data center, supported by US$1.80 billion of new natural gas generation investment starting in 2027.
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The project structure, including approximately US$399 million of refundable advances from Google and contract-based microgrid management fees, is designed to generate substantial long-term cash flow while preventing cost shifts to existing retail customers.
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We'll now examine how Black Hills' US$1.80 billion data center generation build and long-term Google contracts affect its broader investment narrative.
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Black Hills Investment Narrative Recap
To own Black Hills, you need to be comfortable with a regulated utility that is leaning harder into large‑load data center growth while still depending on constructive rate outcomes and manageable weather volatility. The Google Cheyenne data center contracts are a major validation of the data center thesis and appear to become a key near term earnings driver, but they also increase the company's exposure to regulatory approvals and execution risk around a US$1.80 billion build‑out.
The most relevant recent announcement is the pending all stock merger with NorthWestern Energy, which is moving toward final regulatory approval. That deal, if completed as outlined, would change the Black Hills story from a pure play regional utility with a concentrated Wyoming data center pipeline into a larger, more diversified platform, potentially altering how investors weigh the Google project against the rest of the business.
Yet investors should also be aware that if future rate cases fail to keep pace with the added depreciation and financing costs of projects like the Google‑backed build...
Read the full narrative on Black Hills (it's free!)
Black Hills' narrative projects $3.7 billion revenue and $593.3 million earnings by 2029. This requires 17.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $294.2 million earnings increase from $299.1 million today.
Uncover how Black Hills' forecasts yield a $83.17 fair value , a 10% upside to its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span roughly US$66.53 to US$83.17, showing how far individual views on Black Hills can stretch. Some of these investors focus on the scale of hyperscale data center load growth and the long term Google contracts, which could have meaningful implications for how you think about Black Hills' earnings resilience and risk concentration.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Black Hills - why the stock might be worth 12% less than the current price!
Reach Your Own Conclusion
Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
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A great starting point for your Black Hills research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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Our free Black Hills research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Black Hills' overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include BKH .
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