(Bloomberg) -- Investors pulled over $1 billion from US-listed Bitcoin funds over two trading sessions, as the record Binance hack and uncertainty around the US midterm elections remain an overhang on sentiment.
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The funds posted $1.04 billion in net outflows over Friday and Monday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust accounted for $405 million of Monday's withdrawals.
Binance said Tuesday that the hackers behind the $6.3 billion heist used social engineering techniques including fake job interviews, as well as malicious software. The company, which attributed the Oct. 29 hack to North Korea, said the breach involved a "sophisticated, multi-stage campaign." Pyongyang has denied any involvement.
Bitcoin traded just above $77,000 on Tuesday, hovering around its 100-day moving average after slipping below the technical level earlier in the day. The token has struggled to mount a sustained rebound after last week's selloff, leaving traders focused on whether support holds as US voters head to the polls.
Derivatives positioning is also signaling caution. Deribit's put-call ratio over the past 24 hours stood at about 1.2, indicating stronger demand for downside protection.
"Over the past seven sessions, Bitcoin futures saw $2.7 billion of net aggressive selling while spot saw net buying," said Alice Liu, head of research at CoinMarketCap. "The leverage is leaving through the front door; the coins are staying."
Alex Kuptsikevich, analyst at FxPro, said the market "looks bleak enough to test the most important support levels of recent months," with little prospect of a sharp reversal without a catalyst.
The election adds another source of uncertainty. Donald Trump campaigned as a pro-crypto president with promises of creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, and got the GENIUS Act passed last year establishing a federal framework for stablecoins. But the industry's next major priority, the Clarity Act, failed to advance in the Senate in September.
A Democratic sweep of both chambers could shift congressional attention away from industry-backed market-structure legislation and toward tougher oversight and investigations, potentially cooling sentiment around an asset class that has benefited from Washington's policy turn under Trump. Such an outcome could narrow the path for further crypto-friendly laws.
"I do not think a significant Democrat win is priced into the price of Bitcoin," said Russell Thompson, chief investment officer at Hilbert Group.
Re7 Research said the vote could also prove a clearing event, removing a key uncertainty and allowing lighter positioning to translate into renewed risk appetite.
The political overhang follows last week's exploit of Binance, which forced the exchange to temporarily suspend withdrawals. Binance has since resumed withdrawals in phases and said it has replenished about 95% of affected assets, with major tokens fully backed.
Lacie Zhang, research lead at Bitget Wallet, said a systemic crisis was not the base case, but cited withdrawal restrictions, deteriorating market depth and stablecoin depegging as warning signs. Binance's progress in restoring withdrawals and replenishing assets, she said, has reduced some of those immediate concerns.
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