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The AI Memory Boom Could Make This Stock a Much Bigger Story by 2030

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Quick Read

  • Micron has 26 Supply Commitment Agreements through 2030 and 75% of fiscal 2027 shipments already committed, backing the $1,025.96 BUY target.

  • Micron's 87% gross margin outpaces both NVIDIA and Seagate, yet it trades at just 5x forward earnings compared to NVIDIA's 43x.

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Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Micron Technology( NASDAQ:MU ) is $1,025.96 over the next 12 months. That is 7.76% above the model's reference price of $952.10. The model rates the stock a buy with high confidence.

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24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

Metric

Value

Current Price

$952.10

Price Target from 24/7 Wall St.

$1,025.96

Upside/Downside

7.76%

Recommendation

BUY

Confidence Level

90%

Micron has more than 75% of its fiscal 2027 shipments already committed, and it has signed 26 Supply Commitment Agreements that run through 2030.

That visibility explains why our model still sees value after a huge rally. The modest upside comes from mega-cap muting and a sharp one-month decline.

MU price target
MU Price Target — 24/7 Wall St.

Samsung Results Reset Expectations After a 229% Run

Shares fell 4.51% to $938.87 on Thursday after Samsung's earnings showed how high the bar sits for memory stocks. Micron is down 10.91% over the past month but up 2.76% over the past week and 229.21% year to date. It sits 24.1% below its 52-week high of $1,254.61 and about 395% above its low of $192.37.

Fiscal Q4 2026 revenue was $54.23 billion, ahead of the $50.97 billion estimate and up 379.3% year over year. Non-GAAP EPS of $33.42 beat the $31.35 estimate. For fiscal Q1 2027, management guided to revenue of $61.5 billion ± $1.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $38.15 ± $1.00.

MU earnings explorer
MU Earnings Explorer — 24/7 Wall St.

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Why Bulls See $1,351 Within a Year

HBM4 is in high-volume shipments, and HBM4E on 1-gamma DRAM is targeting volume production in calendar 2027. Micron is co-designing HBM4E with NVIDIA( NASDAQ:NVDA ).

President Manish Bhatia said that AI demand is "making clear that DRAM is the principal constraint versus logic or power to the data center."

The consensus analyst target sits at $1,561.91, with 9 Strong Buy and 36 Buy ratings. Our 12-month bull case is $1,351.16, a 41.91% gain.

MU analyst ratings
MU Analyst Ratings — 24/7 Wall St.

Cyclical Supply Risks Worth Watching

Memory has always been a cyclical business. Capex reached $30.7 billion in fiscal 2026, and new clean rooms are set to come online in late 2028. Management admitted, "We really don't have line of sight to when supply and demand balance."

Among the 19 tracked funds, 10 cut positions in the June quarter. The downside scenario is $770.11. On the other side of the ledger, $62.31 billion of fiscal 2026 free cash flow funds the expansion, and most contract pricing includes floor and ceiling bands.

MU price scenario
MU Price Scenario — 24/7 Wall St.

How Micron Compares to NVIDIA and Seagate

NVIDIA is the largest driver of HBM demand. Its supply obligations hit $279 billion, mostly for memory for Vera Rubin. NVIDIA trades at 43x earnings, compared with Micron at about 5x forward earnings, even though Micron's margins are higher (we reverse-engineered what the early signs of the biggest tech winners looked like in a free playbook here).

Seagate( NASDAQ:STX ) shares the same AI data-storage tailwind and guides to $9.20 in fiscal Q2 2027 EPS.

Company

Latest Quarter Revenue Growth

Non-GAAP Gross Margin

Micron

379.3%

87.0%

NVIDIA

105.85%

75.0%

Seagate

61.01%

57.8%

Compared with these peers, our 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.

Earnings Power Outruns the Multiple

Our 24/7 Wall St. price target is $1,025.96, with a buy rating and 90% confidence. Contracted demand through 2030 is what tips the scale.

The case gets stronger if HBM4E launches on schedule in 2027. It weakens if new supply arrives before demand cools. I see Micron's earnings power as undervalued.

Year

Price Target (Base) from 24/7 Wall St.

Bull Case

2026 (12-month)

$1,025.96

$1,351.16

2027

$1,003.41

$1,327.02

2028

$1,077.31

$1,500.85

2029

$1,188.06

$1,850.99

2030

$1,198.89

$1,918.31

These projections assume Micron keeps executing on HBM and its supply agreements. The 2026 row comes from the 12-month model, while the 2027 to 2030 rows use the slower five-year path. An glut cycle after 2028 is the biggest risk to these numbers.

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Contact editorial@247wallst.com for any questions or corrections.

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