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Better Collective AS (FRA:9C8) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Up 9%, North ...

This article first appeared on GuruFocus .

  • Revenue:EUR 89 million, up 9% year-over-year.

  • EBITDA before Special Items:EUR 27 million, up 20% year-over-year.

  • EBITDA Margin:30%, up 2 percentage points year-over-year.

  • Cash Flow from Operations before Special Items:EUR 30 million, up 59% year-over-year, with a cash conversion of 111%.

  • Recurring Revenue:EUR 53 million, up 2% year-over-year.

  • Revenue Share Income:EUR 44 million, up 5% year-over-year, representing 82% of recurring revenue.

  • Sponsorship Revenue:EUR 16 million, up 39% year-over-year.

  • CPM Revenue:EUR 6 million, down 16% year-over-year.

  • Advertising Revenue:EUR 21 million, up 18% year-over-year.

  • North American CPA Revenue:EUR 5 million, up 50% year-over-year.

  • New Depositing Customers (NDCs):373,000, up 24% year-over-year and 21% quarter-over-quarter.

  • Value of Deposits:EUR 836 million, up 17% year-over-year and 5% quarter-over-quarter.

  • Total Costs:EUR 62 million, up 5% year-over-year.

  • Share Buybacks:EUR 8 million in Q2, totaling EUR 14 million in the first half of 2026.

  • Capital Reserves:EUR 80 million at end of June, comprising EUR 25 million cash and EUR 55 million unused bank facilities.

  • Net Debt to EBITDA before Special Items:2.3x.

Release Date: August 21, 2026

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

Positive Points

  • Revenue grew 9% year-over-year to EUR 89 million, with EBITDA up 20% to EUR 27 million and a 30% margin.

  • Cash flow before special items reached EUR 30 million, representing a strong 111% cash conversion.

  • New depositing customers increased 24% year-over-year, with 70% from revenue share agreements, and value of deposits hit an all-time high of EUR 836 million.

  • North American EBITDA margin improved significantly from 5% to 26%, driven by revenue share transition and prediction markets growth.

  • Advertising revenue grew 18% year-over-year, with sponsorship revenue up 39% to EUR 16 million, reflecting successful AdVantage strategy.

Negative Points

  • Regulatory headwinds in the U.K. (remote gaming duty increase) and Brazil negatively impacted revenue by approximately EUR 2 million each.

  • CPM revenue declined 16% year-over-year to EUR 6 million, reflecting a shift away from lower-yielding programmatic advertising.

  • The implied CPA per NDC dropped significantly from EUR 300 to EUR 175, partly due to prediction market dilution and hybrid deal structures.

  • Costs increased by 5% to EUR 62 million, driven by World Cup activities, Playmaker HQ events, and Paid Media investments.

  • The company expects additional restructuring charges in Q3 2026 as part of ongoing optimization and AI-driven efficiency initiatives.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide more detail on the prediction markets' development, including the specific sports driving growth and expectations going forward? A: Jesper Soegaard, Co-Founder and Co-CEO, stated that the company is pleased with the development of prediction markets in the U.S. They started the year with one active player and added a second during Q2. The upcoming NFL season is seen as a major milestone, and the company is excited about the increased competition among prediction market operators, which is expected to drive further growth and improve pricing dynamics in the second half of the year.

Q: The implied CPA per NDC dropped significantly this quarter. Is this solely due to prediction market dilution, or are there other factors at play? A: Jesper Soegaard explained that while prediction markets are a major factor, other elements like the structure of hybrid deals in the Paid Media business also influence the metric. He added that with more prediction market operators entering the market, the company is seeing prices increase, which should have a positive impact on this metric in the second half of the year compared to the first.

Q: Is the 26% EBITDA margin in North America a sustainable baseline, or was it inflated by seasonal high-margin revenue? A: CFO Flemming Pedersen noted that the strong margin was driven by two key factors: the robust performance of the North American revenue share databases, which are now contributing more recurring revenue, and the new market dynamics around prediction markets. He stated that on a full-year basis, this margin level is sustainable and likely to be higher, reflecting the very positive development in the region.

Q: How did the FIFA World Cup impact Q2 results, and can you quantify the effect compared to previous tournaments? A: Jesper Soegaard highlighted that the World Cup positively impacted new depositing customers (NDCs), advertising and sponsorship revenue, and activity in revenue share databases, which saw an all-time high in value of deposits. CFO Flemming Pedersen added that the impact was in line with expectations and that the EUR 5 million revenue and EBITDA bridge figure from the Euro '24 tournament is likely representative of the World Cup's effect on the quarter.

Q: What are the current dynamics in the U.K. and Brazil markets following recent regulatory and tax changes? A: Jesper Soegaard explained that the U.K. tax hike primarily impacted the Paid Media business, but the team has managed the headwind well by adapting to the new auction landscape. Regarding Brazil, the company has been dealing with the effects of taxation and regulation changes for several quarters. He noted that while the regulatory environment is driving some users to the unregulated market, it has become "daily business" for Better Collective to operate in this environment.

Q: How is AI being utilized across the business, and what impact is it having on costs and efficiency? A: Jesper Soegaard stated that AI is affecting the business in many ways, including product development (e.g., Playbook), content production (scaling tips and expert opinions tenfold across brands during the World Cup), and internal processes across all functions. He emphasized that AI adoption is the "new normal" for the organization, driving efficiency and allowing the company to allocate resources to its biggest opportunities.

Q: Can you elaborate on the AdVantage framework and its impact on the decision to combine CPM and sponsorship revenue into a single line? A: CFO Flemming Pedersen explained that AdVantage is a holistic effort with multiple subprojects, including the FanReach project and a focus on selling inventory directly. The initiative aims to improve overall advertising monetization, and the decision to combine CPM and sponsorship into one "advertising revenue" line from next year's annual report reflects how the company manages the business and its long-term strategy for monetizing audiences.

Q: What is the outlook for the Brazilian market given the upcoming election and ongoing regulatory discussions? A: Jesper Soegaard stated that while the election sparks debate, he believes the Brazilian state will want to protect the tax revenue generated from the regulated market. He noted that weakening the regulated market drives users to the non-licensed market, which results in no consumer protection or tax revenue. The company is accustomed to operating in this environment and continues to manage it as part of its daily business.

Q: How should we view the restructuring charge in Q2, and will there be further special items in Q3 related to optimization initiatives? A: CFO Flemming Pedersen clarified that the restructuring charge of approximately EUR 1.4-1.5 million in Q2 related to actions taken during that quarter. He confirmed that new initiatives announced for Q3 will result in additional special items in the following quarters.

Q: How is the broader competitive environment affecting Better Collective, and how is the company positioned to handle industry changes? A: Jesper Soegaard emphasized that Better Collective is on a good track, thanks to its long-term focus on diversification. From being a pure affiliation business at IPO, the company has expanded into multiple markets, added Paid Media, esports, new products like Playbook, and a talent-led business. This diversification provides resilience and optionality in a fast-moving industry, allowing the company to return to growth despite constant changes.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript .

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