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BlackBerry (TSX:BB) Just Gave Investors Something To Think About

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BlackBerry (TSX:BB) is back in focus after a sharp pullback, with the stock down about 15% over the past month and nearly 19% over the past 3 months despite positive annual revenue and net income growth.

Over the past year, BlackBerry's share price has moved sharply, with a year to date share price return of 103.26% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 102.10%. However, the recent 30 day share price return of down 14.98% suggests momentum has cooled as investors reassess growth prospects and risks around the current CA$10.61 level.

Compare BlackBerry's sharp swing with a curated set of other fast moving opportunities using the 9 high quality undiscovered gems that are still flying under most investors' radar.

So after a 100% plus move this year followed by a sharp pullback, does BlackBerry at about CA$10.61 still offer enough upside potential to justify the risks that show up when you run through the valuation math next?

Most Popular Narrative: 35% Undervalued

According to the most widely followed narrative on BlackBerry, the fair value sits at CA$16.22, which is well above the recent CA$10.61 share price. That creates a clear gap between what this narrative thinks the stock is worth and where the market is currently trading it.

The Second Act: Physical AI
Just as the automotive story was maturing into a royalty machine, QNX found its next frontier. And it''s bigger than cars.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see why this narrative values BlackBerry so far above the current price? The whole case leans on sustained revenue growth, expanding margins and a richer future earnings multiple than the market is assigning today.

Result: Fair Value of CA$16.22 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this BlackBerry narrative could be knocked off course if automotive production slows and delays QNX royalties, or if rival safety operating systems win key physical AI projects.

Find out about the key risks to this BlackBerry narrative.

Another View on BlackBerry's Valuation

While the leading narrative points to BlackBerry trading below a CA$16.22 fair value, the current P/E ratio of 75.4x tells a different story. It is lower than peer averages around 83.8x, but more than double the industry at 32.3x and well above a 31.3x fair ratio. Could today's price already be baking in a lot of good news?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

TSX:BB P/E Ratio as at Sep 2026
TSX:BB P/E Ratio as at Sep 2026

Next Steps

With sentiment on BlackBerry clearly split between caution and optimism, take a closer look at the data yourself and decide where you stand. To get a balanced snapshot of both the potential upsides and the key concerns, start with the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign .

Looking for more BlackBerry style investment ideas?

If you only focus on BlackBerry, you could miss other opportunities that fit your goals. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover stocks that match your risk comfort, return targets and income needs.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include BB.TO .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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