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Recent performance snapshot for Centerra Gold
Without a single headline event driving attention, Centerra Gold (TSX:CG) has still been active on investors' screens. The stock is up 3.4% in the past day and 5.8% over the past week.
See our latest analysis for Centerra Gold.
At a CA$22.55 share price, Centerra Gold's recent 1-day and 7-day share price gains sit against a 30-day share price return that is down 12.7%. The 1-year total shareholder return of 132.3% and 3-year total shareholder return of about 3x highlight how strongly the stock has rewarded holders over a longer stretch.
If Centerra Gold's move has your attention, this could be a good moment to scan other producers and compare quality across the sector with our 33 elite gold producer stocks
With the stock pulling back over 30 days but still showing strong multiyear returns and trading below some analyst price targets, you need to ask: Is Centerra Gold undervalued, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 30.4% Undervalued
At a CA$22.55 share price, the most followed narrative places Centerra Gold's fair value closer to CA$32.42, framing the recent pullback as a valuation gap rather than a complete story.
Centerra Gold's multi-year organic growth pipeline, including life extension and throughput expansion at Mount Milligan (PFS in Q3 2025), the low-capex Goldfield Project (first production targeted for 2028), and advanced studies at Kemess, positions the company to offset reserve depletion and sustain/grow revenues in an environment of robust gold demand driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and strong central bank buying.
Curious what turns that project list into a higher fair value? The narrative leans on a specific blend of revenue growth, margin assumptions, and a future earnings multiple that is anything but conservative.
Result: Fair Value of CA$32.42 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, there are still pressure points to watch, including Mount Milligan's geological and grade uncertainty, as well as higher royalty and cost exposure at Öksüt that could squeeze margins.
Wall Street's queuing for one rocket.While SpaceX counts down to its IPO, other companies tied to the new space race are already in orbit. → 20 Compelling Space Companies watchlist · Global Space Race Investing Ideas screener · Scan the sector by valuation on Rocket Lab's valuation page .
Next Steps
The mix of strong past returns and open questions on valuation leaves plenty of room for debate. Take a moment to review the underlying data, weigh the trade offs, and then decide where you stand using the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include CG.TO .
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