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FTI Consulting, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

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FTI Consulting, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
FTI Consulting, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary - Moby

Resumption of Historical Growth Trajectory

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  • Management attributed the record Q3 performance to a 'resumption of the growth trajectory' established between 2017 and 2024, which had been obscured for the last five to six quarters by a major dislocation in the Compass Lexecon business.

  • Performance was significantly bolstered by 'higher than usual success fees' and a lower tax rate; management normalized the record $3.84 adjusted EPS to approximately $2.90 to account for these one-time positive factors.

  • The Economic Consulting segment transitioned from a $22 million quarterly year-over-year drag to being accretive, removing the primary headwind that previously masked growth across the rest of the company.

  • Operational strength was driven by the ability to win a high share of complex cases despite mixed market conditions, resulting in record success fees in Corporate Finance and record bill rates in Economic Consulting and FLC.

  • Management implemented targeted headcount actions affecting approximately 4% of employees to 'clean up' specific bets that did not meet investment cases, particularly in the Middle East, UK, and construction solutions outside the U.S.

  • The strategic framework remains centered on a 'virtuous loop' where retaining top talent leads to winning brand-building work, which in turn attracts further world-class professionals.

Multi-Year Recovery and Efficiency Outlook

  • Management expects a 'modest recovery' for the Economic Consulting segment over a multi-year period, cautioning that profitability will not immediately jump back to historical levels.

  • Guidance for Q4 assumes typical negative seasonality, with Economic Consulting adjusted segment EBITDA expected to return to levels closer to Q2 performance.

  • Headcount and real estate actions taken in Q3 and Q4 are projected to result in approximately $80 million in annualized cost savings.

  • The outlook for Forensic and Litigation Consulting (FLC) remains cautious in the near term due to a 'continued pullback in regulatory enforcement' under the current U.S. administration.

  • Management intends to maintain a 'low-leverage, expert-based model,' prioritizing organic growth and opportunistic share repurchases with remaining authorization of $264.7 million.

Restructuring and Litigation Context

  • A $46 million special charge was recorded in Q3 for headcount actions and real estate costs, with an additional $7 million charge expected in Q4.

  • GAAP EPS was reduced by $0.13 due to 'extraordinary litigation-related expenses,' which management characterized as an anomalous and non-recurring event.

  • Corporate Finance success fees reached $40.7 million, including a 'particularly large' fee from a loan portfolio sale for the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

  • The company issued an 'unprecedented' amount of forgivable loans during the recent Economic Consulting crisis, with approximately $50 million expected to burn off this year.

Strategic Q&A Insights

Sustainability and quality of record earnings

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  • Management clarified that restructuring and litigation charges are not expected to be recurring, and GAAP earnings should align with adjusted earnings in the future.

  • Even after normalizing for 'manna from heaven' factors like success fees and tax benefits, the underlying earnings power remains significantly higher than the prior year's average.

Economic Consulting segment recovery timeline

  • Steve Gunby indicated a five-year outlook for a full recovery, noting that many talent bets made during the crisis will take years to reach full fruition.

  • The amortization of forgivable loans is currently a significant component of direct costs, and management does not expect to replenish these loans at the same unprecedented rate seen last year.

Rationale for targeted headcount reductions

  • Management emphasized these were not cyclical layoffs but disciplined actions to exit markets or 'bets that don't make sense' where a competitive advantage was not established.

  • The company remains committed to hiring in areas of strength, noting that senior headcount growth (SMDs and MDs) actually outpaced overall global headcount growth.

New growth drivers in FLC and Tech

  • While regulatory enforcement is a headwind, management sees significant opportunities in AI-driven risk, including analyzing algorithms for fair credit standards and responding to AI-enabled fraud.

  • Private credit 'blowups' and complex investigations are providing a counter-cyclical boost to the FLC pipeline.

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