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IonQ (IONQ) Down 1.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

IonQ (IONQ) Down 1.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound? · Zacks
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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for IonQ, Inc. (IONQ). Shares have lost about 1.8% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is IonQ due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

IONQ Q2 Earnings Miss & Revenue Beat

IonQ reported an adjusted loss of 33 cents per share for the second quarter of 2026, wider than the year-ago loss of 8 cents. The figure missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.8%.

Revenues surged 287% year over year to $80.1 million and topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 20.63%.

IonQ Broadens Its Revenue Base

International customers generated approximately 50% of quarterly revenues, helped by deployments in South Korea and Switzerland. IonQ now delivers solutions in more than 50 countries across six continents.

Commercial customers, which exclude U.S. government customers, accounted for roughly 60% of revenues. Multi-product sales increased 40% year over year and represented about 25% of the total, reflecting customer purchases across computing, networking, sensing and security.

IONQ's Backlog Adds Revenue Visibility

Remaining performance obligations (RPOs) reached $485 million at quarter-end, up from $470 million in the first quarter and $122 million a year earlier. The increase indicates that new contract activity more than replenished revenues recognized during the quarter.

Management noted that potential business tied to memorandums of understanding with Anduril and Sandia National Laboratories was not included in RPOs. These relationships remain at an early stage and could involve defense, national security and quantum co-design opportunities.

IonQ's Costs Keep Profitability Under Pressure

The adjusted cost of revenues, excluding depreciation and amortization, totaled $44.8 million, resulting in adjusted gross profit of $35.3 million on revenues of $80.1 million. Adjusted gross margin was 44.1% in the second quarter of 2026.

GAAP operating expenses totaled $417.3 million. Research and development was the largest component at $160.6 million, followed by general and administrative expenses of $117.6 million, depreciation and amortization of $46.1 million, and sales and marketing expenses of $32.9 million.

Adjusted EBITDA loss was $120.3 million compared with a loss of $36.5 million a year ago. The result included $24.7 million in R&D costs related to the commercial relationship with SkyWater. Excluding that spending, the adjusted EBITDA loss would have been $95.6 million.

IonQ's Financial Details

IonQ ended the second quarter with substantial financial flexibility. Cash, cash equivalents and investments totaled $3.0 billion as of June 30, 2026, supporting continued investment in quantum-system development, manufacturing capacity and global deployments.

On a pro forma basis following the SkyWater acquisition, cash, cash equivalents and investments were $2.0 billion. Management said this capital position, along with no debt, supports the parallel development of IonQ's 256-qubit and 10,000-qubit systems.

IONQ Raises Its 2026 Revenue Outlook

IonQ lifted its 2026 revenue guidance to $280-$290 million from the earlier $260-$270 million range. The outlook excludes any contribution from SkyWater and retains management's expectation for 100% year-over-year organic revenue growth.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in fresh estimates.

The consensus estimate has shifted -41.76% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

Currently, IonQ has a poor Growth Score of F, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with a B. However, the stock has a score of F on the value side, putting it in the bottom 20% quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of F. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise IonQ has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.

Performance of an Industry Player

IonQ belongs to the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry. Another stock from the same industry, IBM (IBM), has gained 0.6% over the past month. More than a month has passed since the company reported results for the quarter ended June 2026.

IBM reported revenues of $17.16 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +1.1%. EPS of $2.93 for the same period compares with $2.80 a year ago.

IBM is expected to post earnings of $2.90 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +9.4%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.

The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for IBM. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of D.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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