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NiSource (NI) Reports Mixed Q2 Results, Is It Still 15% Below Fair Value?

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Why NiSource earnings matter for investors now

NiSource (NI) shares came into focus after the company released its second quarter 2026 results, reporting higher revenue but lower net income and earnings per share compared with the same period last year.

See our latest analysis for NiSource.

NiSource's share price has slipped over the past month, with a 30 day share price return of 9.15% down and a 90 day share price return of 9.40% down. At the same time, its 5 year total shareholder return of 96.81% points to strong longer term compounding and a shift from recent momentum to a more mixed picture.

If NiSource's recent moves have you rethinking where the next opportunity might come from, it could be worth scanning for other regulated energy and grid plays through the 37 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

NiSource shares have slipped even as analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates sit well above the current price. Is the recent pullback a reset toward fair value, or a sign that expectations need trimming?

Most Popular Narrative: 14.8% Undervalued

NiSource's most followed narrative places fair value at $50.03 compared with the last close at $42.61, which implies a meaningful gap that investors are weighing against the utility's current fundamentals.

Strong visibility into multi-year, rate-based capital expenditure ($19.4B base plan, plus $2B+ in upside/incremental projects) positions NiSource for 6 to 8% annual EPS growth and compound growth in regulated revenue.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what has to happen for that gap to close. The narrative leans on steady revenue expansion, rising margins and a richer future earnings multiple. Want to see which assumptions really move the fair value needle.

Result: Fair Value of $50.03 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this NiSource narrative still faces real pressure if heavy gas infrastructure spending meets faster electrification, or if regulators slow approvals and weaken future returns.

Find out about the key risks to this NiSource narrative.

Another view on NiSource valuation

The NiSource narrative leans on analyst targets that sit about 14.8% above the current $42.61 share price. On simple earnings, the stock trades at a P/E of 22.6x, which is higher than the global Integrated Utilities average of 18.7x yet close to its own fair ratio of 23.3x. That mix of premium to peers and proximity to the fair ratio points to limited room for error if earnings or sentiment soften from here. How comfortable are you paying close to what the market could move toward when other utilities are cheaper on the same metric?

For a closer look at how this earnings based view stacks up against peers and the fair ratio, See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:NI P/E Ratio as at Aug 2026
NYSE:NI P/E Ratio as at Aug 2026

Next Steps

If this NiSource story seems finely balanced between opportunity and risk, do not wait around for a consensus. Check the 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs .

Looking for more investment ideas beyond NiSource?

Do not stop with NiSource. The next opportunity on your list could be just a few filters away in the Simply Wall Street Screener.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include NI .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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