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Why Zscaler (ZS) Is Down 7.8% After Slower 2027 Outlook And AI-Focused Restructuring – And What's Next

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  • Zscaler, Inc. recently reported its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results, posting revenue of US$898.19 million for the quarter and US$3.35 billion for the year, while remaining loss-making on a net income basis.

  • Alongside this, Zscaler issued fiscal 2027 guidance pointing to slower revenue and ARR growth, announced a roughly 3% workforce reduction to prioritize AI-focused initiatives, and filed a US$1.69 billion shelf registration for ESOP-related common stock offerings.

  • We'll now examine how Zscaler's slower fiscal 2027 guidance and AI-focused restructuring may alter the company's existing investment narrative.

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Zscaler Investment Narrative Recap

To own Zscaler, you have to believe in its role as a core cloud security platform benefiting from the shift to Zero Trust and AI-driven protection, despite ongoing net losses. The key near term catalyst is continued ARR expansion from large enterprises, while the biggest current risk is that slower fiscal 2027 guidance signals demand cooling or longer sales cycles. The latest results and outlook modestly reinforce that risk but do not fundamentally change the long term thesis.

The most relevant development here is Zscaler's fiscal 2027 outlook, calling for ARR of US$4.40 billion to US$4.43 billion and revenue of US$3.91 billion to US$3.94 billion, or about 16.6% to 17.5% growth. This step down from prior growth rates frames both the upside from AI-focused initiatives and the risk that upsell and large platform deals take longer to materialize, which could weigh on how quickly investors see operating leverage emerge.

Yet behind the strong Q4 numbers and AI story, investors should be aware of the risk that slower large deal ramp and tighter IT budgets could...

Read the full narrative on Zscaler (it's free!)

Zscaler's narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $132.0 million earnings by 2029. This requires 17.1% yearly revenue growth and a $209.4 million earnings increase from -$77.4 million today.

Uncover how Zscaler's forecasts yield a $196.95 fair value , a 16% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ZS 1-Year Stock Price Chart
ZS 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Some of the lowest ranked analysts already assumed revenue of about US$5.2 billion and just US$50 million in earnings by 2029, so their more cautious view of AI driven upsell and margin pressure could look more reasonable or too harsh after this slower 2027 guidance, which is why you should compare these different expectations before deciding how comfortable you are with the range of possible outcomes.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Zscaler - why the stock might be worth just $196.95!

Decide For Yourself

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include ZS .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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