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YPF Sociedad Anónima (BASE:YPFD) Stock Fair Value Edges Higher After Mixed Analyst Revisions

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Price targets around YPF Sociedad Anónima have settled into a band between US$55 and US$66, giving you a clear view of how analysts are framing potential upside versus risk. The lower end at US$55 reflects more cautious views on how much is already priced in, while the upper end at US$66 highlights confidence from firms such as JPMorgan that YPF can support a higher equity valuation if plans are delivered. In the sections that follow, you will see how these targets connect with the refreshed fair value work and how to track this evolving narrative over time.

Stay updated as the Fair Value for YPF Sociedad Anónima shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio . Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on YPF Sociedad Anónima.

What Wall Street Has Been Saying

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • For YPF Sociedad Anónima, JPMorgan and BofA both keep positive stock ratings while adjusting their models, which signals that they still see support for the current investment case even with updated assumptions.

  • HSBC moved YPF to a Buy rating with a US$60 price target, which points to interest in the company at recent pricing levels and confidence that the risk and reward trade off remains acceptable.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

  • Bradesco BBI downgraded YPF to Neutral from Outperform with a US$55 price target, citing valuation, which tells you some analysts see less room for additional upside at recent levels.

  • Recent price target trims at JPMorgan, from US$66 to US$60.50, and at BofA, from US$65 to US$64, show that even supportive firms are revisiting expectations and factoring in more cautious assumptions around execution and growth.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there's more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives!

BASE:YPFD 1-Year Stock Price Chart
BASE:YPFD 1-Year Stock Price Chart

We've flagged 1 risk for YPF Sociedad Anónima. See which could impact your investment.

How This Changes the Fair Value For YPF Sociedad Anónima

  • Fair Value for YPF Sociedad Anónima has moved from ARS 10,898.60 to ARS 11,533.63.

  • Revenue growth in the model has shifted from 4.86% to 5.39%.

  • Net profit margin has adjusted from 14.13% to 14.24% on ARS revenue.

  • Future P/E has changed from 15.54x to 16.08x.

  • The discount rate has moved from 19.99% to 20.00%.

Never Miss an Update: Follow The Narrative

Narratives link YPF Sociedad Anónima's business story to a financial forecast and fair value that evolve as new data comes in. They give you a single place to track how catalysts and risks are being interpreted over time.

Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Narrative on YPF Sociedad Anónima to stay up to date on:

  • The shift toward low cost shale production, with shale already around 80% of oil output and lifting costs near US$8.4 per BOE and closer to US$7 per BOE excluding divested assets.

  • Large export and infrastructure projects such as the US$25b Loma La Lata Oil development and the Argentina LNG plan with roughly US$20b to US$25b of capex funded mainly through project finance.

  • Key risks around exposure to Brent crude prices, the impact of heavy upfront shale and export spending on free cash flow, and potential changes in funding conditions or timing for long dated projects.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include YPFD .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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