It's been a good week for Fraport AG( ETR:FRA ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 2.2% to €71.25. It looks like the results were pretty good overall. While revenues of €882m were in line with analyst predictions, statutory losses were much smaller than expected, with Fraport losing €0.19 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Following last week's earnings report, Fraport's 16 analysts are forecasting 2026 revenues to be €4.56b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dive 20% to €3.71 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €4.58b and earnings per share (EPS) of €3.76 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
See our latest analysis for Fraport
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €79.92. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Fraport analyst has a price target of €95.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €61.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry . It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Fraport's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 1.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 19% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 3.5% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Fraport.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Fraport's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Fraport. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Fraport going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Fraport that you need to take into consideration.
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