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Tsugami (TSE:6101) Valuation Check After Strong Nine Month Earnings And Profit Growth

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Earnings surprise draws fresh attention to Tsugami stock

Tsugami (TSE:6101) has moved into focus after reporting nine month earnings to December 31, 2025, with sales of ¥94,137 million and net income of ¥11,913 million, alongside higher basic and diluted earnings per share.

See our latest analysis for Tsugami.

The earnings release appears to have coincided with strong share price momentum, with a 30 day share price return of 16.75% and a 90 day share price return of 29.60%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 120.48% points to sustained interest over a longer period.

If Tsugami's recent move has caught your eye, it could be a good moment to see what else is setting up interestingly in our 28 robotics and automation stocks .

With earnings per share rising and the share price already up strongly over 1 year, the key question now is whether Tsugami still trades at an attractive valuation or if the market is already pricing in future growth.

Preferred P/E of 10.6x: Is it justified?

On simple earnings terms, Tsugami trades on a P/E of 10.6x, which looks lower than both the wider market and the machinery peer group despite the recent share price strength around ¥3,415.

The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share, so a lower P/E can suggest the market is attaching a lower price tag to each unit of profit. For a company like Tsugami, which operates in precision machine tools and serves sectors such as electronics and automotive, investors often use P/E to gauge how current profits are being valued relative to similar industrial names.

  • Statements indicate Tsugami is described as good value based on its 10.6x P/E versus a peer average of 14.1x.

  • The same P/E is also described as good value compared to the broader JP Machinery industry average of 14.2x.

  • Earnings grew 58.3% over the past year and 13.4% per year over the past 5 years, alongside an 11.9% net profit margin and a 23.1% return on equity that is described as high.

In summary, the market is applying a lower multiple than the sector average to a company with high return on equity and strong recent earnings growth. This raises the question of whether investors are being cautious about how sustainable those metrics are or have not fully reflected them in the price yet.

Result: Preferred multiple of Price-to-Earnings of 10.6x (UNDERVALUED)

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

However, you still need to watch for a reversal in Tsugami's strong recent share price performance, as well as any slowdown in demand from key electronics or automotive customers.

Find out about the key risks to this Tsugami narrative.

Another view from our DCF model

The P/E of 10.6x suggests Tsugami is cheaper than peers, but our DCF model presents a different perspective. With the share price at ¥3,415 and an estimated future cash flow value of ¥14,729.09, the model indicates the stock is trading well below that level. This raises a key question: which signal deserves more weight, earnings today or cash flows projected over time?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

6101 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026
6101 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day ( check out Tsugami for example ). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 23 high quality undervalued stocks . If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own Tsugami Narrative

If this view does not quite match your take, or you would rather test the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised Tsugami story in just a few minutes. To get started, use Do it your way .

A great starting point for your Tsugami research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

If Tsugami has sparked your interest, do not stop here, your next strong idea could be sitting in one of our focused stock lists below.

  • Target value opportunities by scanning companies identified as 23 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them.

  • Secure your income stream by reviewing businesses in our list of 17 dividend fortresses that aim to combine higher yields with resilience.

  • Prioritise resilience by checking companies highlighted in our 46 resilient stocks with low risk scores where business stability and risk scores are front and center.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 6101.T .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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