Quick Read
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XRP dropped 16% in October 2026, trading at $1.25 after peaking at $1.56, and now sits 66% below its all-time high of $3.65.
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A bullish November requires XRP to close above the 50-day moving average at $1.39; failure likely keeps it range-bound between $1.20 and $1.39.
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Binance's Proof of Reserves check on November 3 could ease selling pressure or push XRP down to $1.20 if the outcome disappoints.
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XRP(CRYPTO:XRP) experienced a tough month in October 2026, losing 16.1% of its value, and trades at $1.25 as of November 1. This follows a high of $1.56 on October 2, just a few days before the coin slipped below $1.50, a key resistance level many XRP holders want to see retaken.
For any XRP price prediction this November, the question remains: can XRP climb back above $1.50 before the month ends?
XRP Lost Every Key Level Between $1.56 and $1.25 in October
XRP's October decline was notable—it fell as low as $1.20 on October 30. For the year, XRP is down 32.1%, and a staggering 50.1% over the past 12 months. For context, this price is also 65.8% below its all-time high of $3.65 from July 17, 2025.
To regain its footing, XRP needs to reclaim a series of price levels that it lost in October:
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$1.56:October's peak, reached on October 2.
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$1.50:Last closed at $1.51 on October 5, but hasn't closed above this mark since.
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$1.39:The 50-day moving average. XRP closed just under it at $1.38 on October 8.
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$1.31:The 20-day average, which XRP breached, closing at $1.23 on October 29.
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$1.25:This represents the current level, which has become a barrier that XRP needs to overcome.
Where Could XRP Close by the End of November?
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Historically, November has been a volatile month for XRP. Since 2017, its returns in November have ranged from a notable increase of 279.2% to a decrease of 23.4%. Overall, XRP has seen four profitable Novembers and five losses, with significant price swings in almost every year.
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Bear Scenario:If XRP falls below October's low of $1.20, it could drop further to test the $1.09 low from August 20. If it drops below that, the price could plunge toward the $1 floor seen in mid-August, a risk our look at how low XRP could go also flagged.
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Base Scenario:In a more stable outlook, XRP might fluctuate between $1.20 and $1.39, reflecting neutral market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 46, indicating a balanced market mood that typically keeps prices stable.
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Bull Scenario:For a bullish turnaround, XRP likely needs to close above the 50-day moving average at $1.39. Before making any significant gains, it also has to break through the 200-day moving average at $1.28, which represents a long-term trend line.
Binance, Ripple's Escrow and XRP ETFs Could Decide XRP's Next Move
Several factors could sway XRP's movement in November:
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Binance's Situation:Binance has recently resumed withdrawals after tackling a significant hack. The exchange claims to have full backing for XRP, which could stabilize prices if its Proof of Reserves checks out on November 3. A positive review could ease recent selling pressure, while a negative outcome might push XRP down to $1.20.
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Ripple's Escrow:Ripple maintains a sizable portion of its XRP in escrow, releasing coins on a set schedule. The November release could add more supply when XRP is struggling to hold above $1.25, raising concerns about potential price dilution.
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XRP ETFs:XRP exchange-traded funds saw inflows of $4.3 million during the week of October 26-30, managing a total of $1.42 billion in assets. Although this indicates sustained demand for XRP, it may not be enough to drive the price above $1.39 on its own.
With all these factors in play, investors and traders will be keenly watching XRP's performance as November unfolds, hoping for a turnaround that can set it back on the path toward $1.50.
XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Bounce Back Above $1.50 This November?
XRP faces significant challenges in closing above $1.50 by November 30. To do so, the coin must first surpass $1.25, then the 20-day average at $1.31, and finally the 50-day average at $1.39. If the upcoming reserve check falls short of expectations and XRP closes below $1.20, it could potentially drop to around $1.09, pushing any hopes of hitting $1.50 into December. However, long-term holders can be patient as they consider XRP's outlook for 2030.
If Binance successfully passes its reserve check on November 3 and ETF inflows continue in the coming weeks, we might see buyers stepping back in. Still, XRP needs to close above $1.39 daily, as indicated in our end-of-November forecast from October 24. If XRP can close at this level by mid-November, the $1.50 target might come back into play. Without that closing price, XRP is more likely to finish November somewhere between $1.20 and $1.39 rather than above $1.50.
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