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Tempus AI (TEM) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing a gain over the past month but a decline across the past 3 months and year to date.
See our latest analysis for Tempus AI.
The recent 10.61% 1 month share price return contrasts with a 16.38% 3 month share price decline and a 19.79% year to date share price loss. Recent momentum therefore appears more like a short term bounce than a sustained trend, even though the 1 year total shareholder return of a 3.53% loss is less weak than the year to date picture.
If you are weighing Tempus AI against other healthcare technology names, it can help to scan a wider peer group using a focused list of 32 healthcare AI stocks
So with Tempus AI showing a recent bounce after earlier declines, a value score of 2, an intrinsic discount of about 51% and a price target still above the current US$50.02 level, is this a buying opportunity, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 30.9% Undervalued
Tempus AI's most followed narrative points to a fair value of $72.40, comfortably above the last close at $50.02, putting the focus firmly on future execution.
Strong growth in testing volumes and biopharma partnerships positions Tempus AI for durable revenue gains, supported by differentiated technology and a growing data advantage.
Expanding clinical-genomic offerings and disciplined cost management drive improving profitability, while rising AI adoption and regulatory clarity provide long-term growth opportunities.
Want to see what underpins that higher fair value? The narrative leans on ambitious revenue compounding, margin lift, and a rich future earnings multiple that only select healthcare names usually command.
Result: Fair Value of $72.40 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, there is still clear risk if reimbursement for newer assays remains slow or if pharma data budgets tighten, which could challenge the current undervalued narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Tempus AI narrative.
Another Angle on Valuation
Our DCF model estimates Tempus AI's fair value at about $102.50 per share, which is significantly higher than both the current $50.02 price and the $72.40 narrative fair value. That difference may indicate either potential upside or optimistic cash flow assumptions that you may want to stress test for yourself.
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Next Steps
Plenty of optimism and caution has surfaced here, so do not wait on others to decide the story for you. Instead, weigh the upside and downside in detail with the 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include TEM .
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